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[QUOTE="jncuse, post: 4450276, member: 1969"] So I decided to do a similar chart as I did last year tracking quality OOC wins by conference (Q1+Q2) and bad OOC losses (Q3+Q4) by conference. I used KenPom as a proxy for the NET for the time being. [B]The BIG10 has clearly been the dominant conference so far this year, and its not particularly close.[/B] [ATTACH type="full"]222327[/ATTACH] Notes of Interest - the Big East hasn't done much bad, but they have had about 7 cracks at a Q1 or Q2 win against the other top 5 conferences and have lost every time. SEC has 3 "good" wins but they are mostly borderline Q2 wins. Another reference point is Conference RPI rankings. Not a perfect metric, but it tends to approximate NET when aggregated. Big Ten is at .61 vs the next best (SEC) at .56 in terms of power conferences. That is a massive difference - it looks small, but typically top conference are within 1 or 2% of each other (in the .57 to .59 range) [ATTACH type="full"]222328[/ATTACH] This type of early season dominance is not unusual for the BIG. They have performed the best (or very close to it) in November and December for about 4 years now. This will position them for a large number of seeds, if they maintain close to this pace (but its early). Of course March comes around and its a different story in terms of performance. [B]What about the ACC? - [/B]They have the most bad losses due to Louisville (3) and Florida St (2). Syracuse has the other. Louisville and Florida St are the only P5 teams with multiple bad losses. This could cause a drag on the rest of the conference if there are 2 teams that are particularly bad. - The ACC is sort of hanging around with all the conferences except for the BIG. So its too early to tell if this year - Its still too early to make predictions on what conferences will dominate seeds due to OOC performance, except for the BIG which is off to a great start. I didn't do any analysis for the PAC because they are horrible this year. Its clear from their RPI as of now. [/QUOTE]
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