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[QUOTE="jncuse, post: 1973715, member: 1969"]
I like using the RPI Forecast tool to project.   It's certainly not without its faults, but what it does is takes the current results of a team and uses the Sagarin rating to project the rest of the games.    It then spits out teams projected resume entering conference tourney.   So the 2 driving factors in it as of now would be a) Conference Success to Date and b) A Team's Sagarin Rating.

[URL]http://www.rpiforecast.com/faq.html[/URL]

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It's interesting to note that the ACC is projected to have the top 4 RPI's by season end.   This is all very early, but it certainly seems the ACC will dominate the POD seeds this year.   Based on the resume above Syracuse would probably be a 3 seed.

With the mechanics of the NCAA Tournament bracket,  if Syracuse is the third best team in the ACC it will be hard to get to New York City regional.  The top 2 teams in the ACC will likely get the Memphis and New York City regionals.   Even at #2 it may be tough, because Duke may take New York City.  If Syracuse is the 4th best ACC team it could get into the New York Region.

In terms of the aim for Buffalo, that is still attainable at the 3 line.   The presence of other ACC teams is not much of an issue because they can play in Greenville and Orlando.
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