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[QUOTE="jncuse, post: 1982280, member: 1969"]
The ACC continues to do well, going 5-1 tonight against the Big Ten, and winning the challenge by a score of 9-5.  The table below is the live conference RPI.

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In terms of projected Conference RPI, these were the standings.    These are a day behind on rpiforecast.com.  I suspect the ACC will be number 1 in projected RPI tomorrow.

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This may be relevant to Syracuse as we right now we are not certain if we are comfortably above a bubble level team.   So here are the current projected RPI by record entering the ACC tournament:

21-10, RPI 43
20-11, RPI 52
19-12, RPI 69

I think we have enough date in to now make my first projected win target.

Last year I was fairly confident with the 19 win mark most of the year because it included quality neutral wins against Texas A&M and UConn.   I became even more confident in the 19 win target after beating Duke.  We had the quality win portfolio to overcome a 19-12 record entering the ACC tourney with an RPI in the mid 60's.

This year we will certainly not have the quality OOC win profile.    So I don't think 19-12 and RPI of 69 would be enough.  [B]So while last year I set the fairly good chance (but certainly not 100%) win target at 19-12, this year I am setting my early estimate for fairly decent chance at 20-11.[/B]   9-9 record in the ACC certainly has to give us some quality wins.

Of course none of those numbers include the conference tourney which could certainly influence things.   Although we learned from last year that an additional loss against a tourney level team (vs. Pitt) is not going to kill you.  Of course ESPN wanted to sell that narrative, but it was clearly not the case.   If it had been a loss against a non tourney team it could have been a different story.

Let's hope we go at 10-8 or much better in the ACC so we don't even have to think about this.
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