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Message: [QUOTE="jncuse, post: 2022350, member: 1969"] I apologize for saying the same thing on every odds post but this number was expected. Vegas almost always bases opening odds on some system similar to KenPom Rating. I don't pay for the premium, but I always look at the net efficiency on his main page, adjust for pace, add home court of 3.5, and I almost always come up within 1 of the opening line. Today it was bang on. Pitt +13.27 per 100 Possessions Syracuse +12.66 per 100 Possessions Advantage Pitt - +0.61 per 100 Possessions Avg Pace of Both Teams - 68.3 Pitt Favoured by 0.41 points on neutral floor (.61 advantage adjusted to 68.3 possessions) Add Standard 3.5 Home Point Advantage Syracuse Favoured by 3.09 points (3.5 + (.41) But as it does seem like a great number for Pitt I do expect the line to come down to maybe 1.5 by game time. [/QUOTE]