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Message: [QUOTE="bozophobe, post: 1157294, member: 2589"] I don't know if your perspective is more realistic than his - just at the other extreme of the confidence scale. 22 wins is indeed realistic (and that could include 2 NIT wins before bowing out) at the pessimistic end of the scale. Most folks here are open to a broad range of possibilities because of all the questions. I'm expecting a few more wins than 22, because it seems probable that someone will step up. We have more alpha males now, or at least offensive-minded people. B.J. and Tyler just want to put the damn ball in the hole. One just needs starter's minutes and some time, and the other needs more confidence. Last year's Ennis-led team was borderline perverse, to be honest. Wondering whether either team will get out of the forties. When you point out the 29.8 5 year average, you have to consider that some years in there were higher, and some lower (you know that, obviously). But you also have to consider unlikely positive events, like the Ennis 40 footer versus Pitt. That shouldn't have gone in. Take out a few other great performances by players who stepped up, as well as just all those downright close games in each of the last 5 years, and you can see that there really isn't much margin for error. And there will be errors. Lots of 'em. But points, too. The choice of a 5 year span seems arbitrary; even cherry-picked, as well. It implies that the SU program definitively took a step forward somehow at the beginning of that stretch. Maybe they did, and I hope so. But what was it? What will ruin the game for me, though, is if I develop unrealistically high standards instead of rolling around in the glory when it comes. [/QUOTE]

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