That top 50 must be a Sagarin Rating? The NET is a little more favourable to their opponents with some in the 40s lie Richmond.
Does Sagarin not have Colorado in their top 50 teams? Not that it would make it better, it would actually make it 1-2.
But I think the one thing you can always look at is how they do in conference Road Games against decent teams. Those games are good tests for Dayton. Players and fans get up for Dayton this year like teams get up for the Blue Bloods in P5 games. Teams like VCU, Rhode Island, Richmond, St Louis are decent teams that are not easy games on the road.
Dayton went 4-0 in those games and went to OT in 1, and comfortably won 2 of them.