I am going to postulate a new theory. I call it Sutomcat’s Law of College Transfers.
When an athlete decides to transfer, the most important factors choosing the new school are proximity to the athlete’s home town, for both the school originally chosen and the new school.
The further the distance between the hometown and the school transferring from, the closer the new school will be from the hometown. And vice versa.
This is why we are unlikely to see many athletes from Florida, who initially chose a team in the Deep South, decide to finish their career at Syracuse. And why Rutgers is able to get NJ kids to transfer there after they go away to school and figure out they are not P5 level players.
And why I think, all other things being equal, SU should prioritize getting transfers originally from NYS or Canada. We will need to leave no stone unturned, but I think these are the guys we are going to have the most success landing from the portal.