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Message: [QUOTE="pfister1, post: 2036757, member: 285"] And how do you predict that at the point that you would actually have to get involved in recruiting them if you want to hold any hope of actually landing them (maybe their sophomore year in HS or even earlier)? We can't even make accurate predictions of whether they are likely to leave early or not when they are here entering their freshman year (see Ennis, Tyler; Richardson, Malachi). I think whether your top players stay or go has more to do with (i) luck - did you happen to get guys that make scouts drool or guys that are just great basketball players and (ii) whether the system you play tends to highlight things the NBA wants to see. [/QUOTE]