SWC75
Bored Historian
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- Aug 26, 2011
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(This is the second half of my usual "Net Points, etc." post game post.)
Possession:
Before you can score you’ve got to get the rock. Syracuse had 11 offensive and 20 defensive rebounds. They had 11 offensive and 24 defensive rebounds. When we missed we got the ball 11 of 35 times, (31.4%). When they missed, they got the ball 11 of 31 times (35.5%). We’ve averaged getting 38.4% of our misses and our opposition has gotten 31.5% of theirs. We have won the rebounding battle by this measure 24 times in 34 games.
Of our 9 turnovers, 7 were their steals and 2 were our own miscues. Of their 14 turnovers, 6 were Syracuse steals and 8 were their fault. Syracuse has had fewer turnovers in 30 of 34 games with two even. Overall we are ahead by 149 turnovers on the season, (306-455) and are also ahead in unforced errors, (160-184). We had single digit turnovers in 15 of 19 ACC games and no more than 12 of them in any conference game. That’s very impressive for a team with a young backcourt.
If you add our 31 rebounds to their 14 turnovers, we had 45 “manufactured possessions”. They had 35 + 9= 44, so we were +1. We’ve won that battle 29 times this season in 34 games with an average margin of +8.1. We’ve won by double figures 15 times.
Shooting:
It’s still what the game is all about. It’s what this game was all about, for sure. We were 21 for 44, (.477) inside the arc, 0 for 10, (.000) outside it and 11 for 14 (.786) from the line. They were 12 for 30 (.400), 7/16 (.438) and 10/18 (.556). On the season, Syracuse is shooting .477/.331/.708, the opposition .452/.343/.668. We complain about our free throw shooting but we out-shot the opposition on the year by 40 points. Here are our two point percentages for every year of this decade: 2009-10: .571-.462 (+109), 2010-11: .562-.444 (+118), 2011-12: .519-.425 (+94), 2012-13: .485-.425 (+60). So far this year: .477-.452 = +25. If we’d have shot .571 inside the arc this year, (and the 2010 team did), we’d have scored 258 more points, 8 more per game. That would have made this year’s games a little easier to take.
We had 53 points, 40 in the paint, 0 from the arc and 11 from the line so we scored 2 points from what I’ll call the “Twilight Zone”: that area between the paint and the arc that is the land of the pull-up jump shot, a lost art but a great weapon. They had 55-18-21-10= 6 points in the Twilight Zone. Overall, we had only 2 POP: Points Outside the Paint to 27 for them. Against FSU we had 31 POP and 16 points in the TZ. Against NC State is was 18 and 6. Against Western Michigan it was 35 and 14. The game is so much easier when you don’t have to go to the basket for all your points. So far this year Syracuse is averaging 23 POP, 8 from the TZ, the opposition 25/5. That we had only 2 point outside the paint in this game, (as I recall, Jerami Grant hit a jumper), is one of the most amazing statistics I’ve ever heard. We were 1 for 19 outside the paint, according to ESPN, (5%). That our season would end with such a performance, (in a two point loss) is particularly agonizing. How could we got from 35/14 to 2/2 playing two days later in the same arena? The previous worst shooting game we’d had this season were St. Francis and the second Boston College game. In both we had 8 POP and 2 from the TZ.
Only 4 of our 21 baskets were assisted (.190) and 12 of their 19 (.632). For the year we are assisting on 48.6% of our baskets to 64.1% for the opposition, who have had more assists or a higher percentage in 30 of 34 games. Assists tend to come more often from jump shots than lay-ups or dunks so the more assists you get, the more you are settling for jump shots to try to win the game which is often a bad strategy. In this game anything we got was out of a single player driving to the basket.
You compute “Offensive Efficiency” by taking field goal attempts – offensive rebounds + turnovers plus 47.5% of free throws attempted and dividing that into the number of points. We were 54 FGA - 11 OREBs + 9 TOs + (.475 x 14) = 58.65 possessions. They were 46 -11+ 14+ (.475 x 18) = 57.55 possessions. Since possessions shouldn’t be more than one off, I’ll count that as 59 possessions in which we scored 53 points, (0.898) and 58 possessions in which they scored 55 points, (0.948). For the season we are averaging 1.112 points per possession, our opposition 0.972. We’ve averaged 122 combined possessions per game this year. In this game, there were 117, despite Dayton’s reputation as a running team. I thought this might be like the first Duke game but nobody wants tyo run with us, even though we aren’t a notably good running team.
Every other level of basketball plays quarters. To check the consistency of our performance, I look at what the score was at the 10 minute mark of each half to see what the quarterly scores would be. At a minimum, I think we want to score at least 15 points in each quarter and try to hold the opposition to less than that. The quarterly breakdown for this game 8-13, 10-7, 14-15, 21-20. The average for the season is: 16-13, 18-14, 17-16, 19-16. We’ve won 83 quarters, (and one overtime), lost 46, (and one overtime) and tied 7. We’ve scored at least 15 in 86 of 136 quarters and held the opposition under that 70 times.
Hubert Davis once told us to “Get an offensive dude”. I decided to name an “Offensive Dude Of the Game, or an O-Dog, and use the hockey concept of points + assists. In this game Tyler Ennis had 19 points and 3 assists for 22 “hockey points”. So far Tyler Ennis has led 16 times and CJ Fair has done it 12 times, Trevor Cooney 5 times, Jerami Grant has done it 3 times and Rakeem Christmas once, including ties.
I also like to keep track who sits us down in each half. Besides being fun it gives an indication of who Coach B likes to design plays for since opening possessions are more likely to be scripted than those later in the game, (although sometimes we don’t score until later). In this game Rakeem Christmas did it in both halves with a dunk at 1:10 of the first half and a lay-up at 2:19 of the second. Trevor Cooney did it in the second half with a jumper at 57 seconds. CJ Fair has now sat us down 22 times, Rakeem Christmas 13 times, Trevor Cooney 11 times, Tyler Ennis 10 times, and DaJuan Coleman and Jerami Grant 5 and Michael Gbinije once. That Christmas and Coleman have more sit-downs that you’d expect with their scoring confirms that JB likes to begin halves by going inside.
These are the games were we’ve taken more than two minutes to score in a half:
Longest: 8:50, second half vs. Miami. 5:42 first half vs. Boston College. We were 4:51 vs. St. Francis, (second half), 3:12 vs. Villanova (first half), 2:44 vs. Pittsburgh II (second half) 2:37 vs. Notre Dame (first half), 2:29 vs. Eastern Michigan (second half), 2:19 vs. Dayton (second half), 2:13 vs. Pittsburgh (first half),2:07 vs. Virginia (second half), 2:05 vs. North Carolina (second half)
Fouls
We were charged with 16 fouls to 16 for them. We attempted 14 fouls shots to 18 for them. We had 40 points in the paint to 18 for them. We attempted 44 two point shots to 30 for them. The foul disparity doesn’t seem as “out of whack” as it did in the Duke and Maryland games when Syracuse had a total of 44 PIP to 38 and attempted 94 two point shots to 45 but got called for 39 fouls to 28 and went to the line 20 times to 52. But you would think they would have been called for more fouls and we would have gone to the line more than that.
On the season we have attempted 1368 two point shots to 993 for the opposition and scored 1028 PIP to 753. We’ve committed 546 fouls to 598 and gone to the line 720 to 607 times, suggesting that there should be a relationship between two points attempts and points in the point and how many fouls are called on the other team and how many times you got to the line.
Possession:
Before you can score you’ve got to get the rock. Syracuse had 11 offensive and 20 defensive rebounds. They had 11 offensive and 24 defensive rebounds. When we missed we got the ball 11 of 35 times, (31.4%). When they missed, they got the ball 11 of 31 times (35.5%). We’ve averaged getting 38.4% of our misses and our opposition has gotten 31.5% of theirs. We have won the rebounding battle by this measure 24 times in 34 games.
Of our 9 turnovers, 7 were their steals and 2 were our own miscues. Of their 14 turnovers, 6 were Syracuse steals and 8 were their fault. Syracuse has had fewer turnovers in 30 of 34 games with two even. Overall we are ahead by 149 turnovers on the season, (306-455) and are also ahead in unforced errors, (160-184). We had single digit turnovers in 15 of 19 ACC games and no more than 12 of them in any conference game. That’s very impressive for a team with a young backcourt.
If you add our 31 rebounds to their 14 turnovers, we had 45 “manufactured possessions”. They had 35 + 9= 44, so we were +1. We’ve won that battle 29 times this season in 34 games with an average margin of +8.1. We’ve won by double figures 15 times.
Shooting:
It’s still what the game is all about. It’s what this game was all about, for sure. We were 21 for 44, (.477) inside the arc, 0 for 10, (.000) outside it and 11 for 14 (.786) from the line. They were 12 for 30 (.400), 7/16 (.438) and 10/18 (.556). On the season, Syracuse is shooting .477/.331/.708, the opposition .452/.343/.668. We complain about our free throw shooting but we out-shot the opposition on the year by 40 points. Here are our two point percentages for every year of this decade: 2009-10: .571-.462 (+109), 2010-11: .562-.444 (+118), 2011-12: .519-.425 (+94), 2012-13: .485-.425 (+60). So far this year: .477-.452 = +25. If we’d have shot .571 inside the arc this year, (and the 2010 team did), we’d have scored 258 more points, 8 more per game. That would have made this year’s games a little easier to take.
We had 53 points, 40 in the paint, 0 from the arc and 11 from the line so we scored 2 points from what I’ll call the “Twilight Zone”: that area between the paint and the arc that is the land of the pull-up jump shot, a lost art but a great weapon. They had 55-18-21-10= 6 points in the Twilight Zone. Overall, we had only 2 POP: Points Outside the Paint to 27 for them. Against FSU we had 31 POP and 16 points in the TZ. Against NC State is was 18 and 6. Against Western Michigan it was 35 and 14. The game is so much easier when you don’t have to go to the basket for all your points. So far this year Syracuse is averaging 23 POP, 8 from the TZ, the opposition 25/5. That we had only 2 point outside the paint in this game, (as I recall, Jerami Grant hit a jumper), is one of the most amazing statistics I’ve ever heard. We were 1 for 19 outside the paint, according to ESPN, (5%). That our season would end with such a performance, (in a two point loss) is particularly agonizing. How could we got from 35/14 to 2/2 playing two days later in the same arena? The previous worst shooting game we’d had this season were St. Francis and the second Boston College game. In both we had 8 POP and 2 from the TZ.
Only 4 of our 21 baskets were assisted (.190) and 12 of their 19 (.632). For the year we are assisting on 48.6% of our baskets to 64.1% for the opposition, who have had more assists or a higher percentage in 30 of 34 games. Assists tend to come more often from jump shots than lay-ups or dunks so the more assists you get, the more you are settling for jump shots to try to win the game which is often a bad strategy. In this game anything we got was out of a single player driving to the basket.
You compute “Offensive Efficiency” by taking field goal attempts – offensive rebounds + turnovers plus 47.5% of free throws attempted and dividing that into the number of points. We were 54 FGA - 11 OREBs + 9 TOs + (.475 x 14) = 58.65 possessions. They were 46 -11+ 14+ (.475 x 18) = 57.55 possessions. Since possessions shouldn’t be more than one off, I’ll count that as 59 possessions in which we scored 53 points, (0.898) and 58 possessions in which they scored 55 points, (0.948). For the season we are averaging 1.112 points per possession, our opposition 0.972. We’ve averaged 122 combined possessions per game this year. In this game, there were 117, despite Dayton’s reputation as a running team. I thought this might be like the first Duke game but nobody wants tyo run with us, even though we aren’t a notably good running team.
Every other level of basketball plays quarters. To check the consistency of our performance, I look at what the score was at the 10 minute mark of each half to see what the quarterly scores would be. At a minimum, I think we want to score at least 15 points in each quarter and try to hold the opposition to less than that. The quarterly breakdown for this game 8-13, 10-7, 14-15, 21-20. The average for the season is: 16-13, 18-14, 17-16, 19-16. We’ve won 83 quarters, (and one overtime), lost 46, (and one overtime) and tied 7. We’ve scored at least 15 in 86 of 136 quarters and held the opposition under that 70 times.
Hubert Davis once told us to “Get an offensive dude”. I decided to name an “Offensive Dude Of the Game, or an O-Dog, and use the hockey concept of points + assists. In this game Tyler Ennis had 19 points and 3 assists for 22 “hockey points”. So far Tyler Ennis has led 16 times and CJ Fair has done it 12 times, Trevor Cooney 5 times, Jerami Grant has done it 3 times and Rakeem Christmas once, including ties.
I also like to keep track who sits us down in each half. Besides being fun it gives an indication of who Coach B likes to design plays for since opening possessions are more likely to be scripted than those later in the game, (although sometimes we don’t score until later). In this game Rakeem Christmas did it in both halves with a dunk at 1:10 of the first half and a lay-up at 2:19 of the second. Trevor Cooney did it in the second half with a jumper at 57 seconds. CJ Fair has now sat us down 22 times, Rakeem Christmas 13 times, Trevor Cooney 11 times, Tyler Ennis 10 times, and DaJuan Coleman and Jerami Grant 5 and Michael Gbinije once. That Christmas and Coleman have more sit-downs that you’d expect with their scoring confirms that JB likes to begin halves by going inside.
These are the games were we’ve taken more than two minutes to score in a half:
Longest: 8:50, second half vs. Miami. 5:42 first half vs. Boston College. We were 4:51 vs. St. Francis, (second half), 3:12 vs. Villanova (first half), 2:44 vs. Pittsburgh II (second half) 2:37 vs. Notre Dame (first half), 2:29 vs. Eastern Michigan (second half), 2:19 vs. Dayton (second half), 2:13 vs. Pittsburgh (first half),2:07 vs. Virginia (second half), 2:05 vs. North Carolina (second half)
Fouls
We were charged with 16 fouls to 16 for them. We attempted 14 fouls shots to 18 for them. We had 40 points in the paint to 18 for them. We attempted 44 two point shots to 30 for them. The foul disparity doesn’t seem as “out of whack” as it did in the Duke and Maryland games when Syracuse had a total of 44 PIP to 38 and attempted 94 two point shots to 45 but got called for 39 fouls to 28 and went to the line 20 times to 52. But you would think they would have been called for more fouls and we would have gone to the line more than that.
On the season we have attempted 1368 two point shots to 993 for the opposition and scored 1028 PIP to 753. We’ve committed 546 fouls to 598 and gone to the line 720 to 607 times, suggesting that there should be a relationship between two points attempts and points in the point and how many fouls are called on the other team and how many times you got to the line.