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Expectations in Year 1
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[QUOTE="OttoinGrotto, post: 5736132, member: 297"] I don't think he's all that far from being really good. Here's why - I'm chalking the free throw shooting up as an anomaly. It was weird, and we had a lot of weirdness there throughout the roster, and that's going to regress to the mean, which in this case is a really good thing. I expect him to be ~75% next year. Freshmen are rarely reliable from the floor, especially three point range, but with Kiyan he also had a lot of minutes on, shall we say, offensively challenged lineup, and I think he took that as license to take some bad shots. Supposing Gerry is successful at installing a more disciplined offense, those will be gone and his shooting percentages will increase. I'd like to do a quantitative analysis of this, but it's pretty common for shooting percentages to improve freshman to sophomore year. I expect Anthony will follow the general trend line improving there. Anthony also saw first hand what this level of basketball about. He's enough of a student of the game to understand where his defense falls short. His trend got worse there as the year progressed, I think as part of the team falling apart. Not what you want to see, but with better effort earlier in the year he wasn't necessarily good but didn't completely suck. Gerry is intended to teach intensity and effort, so that gives Anthony a chance to level up. But some of his issues were physical, and that's where experience helps too. I expect Kiyan learned he needs to to take his training and weight room work to another level. He likely won't ever have JJ's foot speed, but I doubt he's topped out yet. And, importantly, Melo has the resources to invest in Kiyan improving. He will have every opportunity to get better. And the sophistication of his offensive game shows he is receptive to coaching and training. He does things that are learned, not based solely on natural talent. Apply that to defense and we'll be stronger. [/QUOTE]
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