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[QUOTE="jncuse, post: 2507506, member: 1969"]
At this point, I will admit I likely undersold what I thought we needed to accomplish back in early January.   I was extremely confident that 9-9 in the ACC would basically be a lock, no matte the ACC tourney... that will still get us an RPI in the mid 30's as RPI forecast projected, but I did not expect it to result in our win quality profile being that much lower than the rest of the bubble.   The balance in the SEC and B12 is really screwing with things and making it easier for them to get quality wins.

I knew that the SEC and B12 would get many seeds (probably called for 14 or 15 if I looked back), but the Conference RPI gap at December 31, must have been a bit larger than I thought it was.   The SEC and the B12 are really benefiting from the RPI multiplier effect and this year the ACC isn't really.   Other factors:
- ACC is more top heavy then the SEC and B12, which reduces the ability to get quality wins.   Every road win in the SEC and B12 is almost a quad one because it is so balanced.
- The SEC/B12 challenge added to the multiple effect.

We may still find we are in good shape next Monday at 9-9. based on what others do.

Of course, getting wins on the court will be a problem.
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