SWC75
Bored Historian
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Team Offensive Possession Efficiency
(Possessions: Field goals attempted - offensive rebounds + turnovers + 47.5% of free throws attempted. Efficiency is total points divided by possessions)
Virginia I 34/59 = 0.576 vs. 48/58 = 0.828 117 possessions
Colgate 70/63 = 1.111 vs. 59/64 = 0.844 127 possessions
Seattle 89/73 = 1.219 vs. 67/73 = 0.918 146 possessions
Cornell 72/56 = 1.248 vs. 53/55 = 0.964 111 possessions
Bucknell 97/74 = 1.311 vs. 46/75 = 0.613 149 possessions
Oklahoma St. 72/77 = 0.935 vs. 86/79 = 1.089 156 possessions
Penn State 64/75 = 0.853 vs. 85/73 = 1.164 148 possessions
Iowa 54/64 = 0.844 vs. 68/65 = 1.046 129 possessions
Georgia Tech 97/78 = 1.244 vs. 63/78 = 0.808 156 possessions
Georgetown 79/73 = 1.082 vs. 89/73 = 1.219 146 possessions
Oakland 74/62 = 1.138 vs. 62/64 = 0.969 129 possessions
North Florida 82/61 = 1.344 vs. 70/60 = 1.167 121 possessions
Niagara 71/67 = 1.060 vs. 57/67 = 0.851 134 possessions
Notre Dame I 87/68 = 1.261 vs. 88/68 = 1.294 136 possessions
Virginia Tech I 63/61 = 1.033 vs. 67/62 = 1.081 123 possessions
Virginia II 63/70 = 0.900 vs. 55/71 = 0.775 141 possessions
Boston Col I 76/67 = 1.134 vs. 50/66 = 0.758 133 possessions
Virginia Tech II 71/64 = 1.109 vs. 69/63 = 1.095 127 possessions
Notre Dame II 84/68 = 1.235 vs. 82/68 = 1.135 136 possessions
Pittsburgh I 69/69 = 1.000 vs. 61/68 = 0.897 137 possessions
Clemson 70/64 = 1.094 vs. 71/65 = 1.092 137 possessions
Duke 88/77 = 1.257 vs. 91/77 = 1.423 154 possessions
Wake Forest 75/72 = 1.042 vs. 73/73 = 1.000 145 possessions
NC State 74/77 = 0.961 vs. 79/76 = 1.039 153 possessions
Florida State 77/72 = 1.069 vs. 80/71 = 1.127 143 possessions
Louisville 66/74 = 0.891 vs. 90/75 = 1.200 149 possessions
Georgia Tech 79/73 = 1.082 vs. 72/73 = 0.986 146 possessions
Pittsburgh II 72/70 = 1.029 vs. 49/70 = 0.700 146 possessions
No Carolina I 79/71 = 1.113 vs. 92/70 = 1.314 141 possessions
Boston Col II 84/69 = 1.217 vs. 71/68 = 1.044 137 possessions
U of Miami 65/66 = 0.985 vs. 69/66 = 1.045 132 possessions
No Carolina II 81/69 = 1.174 vs. 53/68 = 0.779 137 possessions
Average: 2378/2209 = 1.077 vs. 2216/2200 = 1.007 We were 18-1 when we won this stat.
In wins: 1406/1225 = 1.148 vs. 1112/1224 = 0.908 In losses: 972/984 = 0.988 vs. 1104/976 = 1.131
I’ve been keeping track of this for about a decade and there have bene two occasions when the losing team won this stat, (due to rounding off in a close game). As I recall the other one was a Clemson game, too.
Adjusted Possession Efficiency
(Using just FGA + (.475 x FTA) to treat offensive rebounds as extra possessions and turnovers as lost possessions.)
Virginia I 34/52 = 0.654 vs. 48/58 = 0.828
Colgate 70/61 = 1.147 vs. 54/63 = 0.857
Seattle 89/64 = 1.391 vs. 67/69 = 0.971
Cornell 72/62 = 1.161 vs. 53/52 = 1.019
Bucknell 97/71 = 1.366 vs. 46/65 = 0.706
Oklahoma St. 72/74 = 0.973 vs. 86/68 = 1.265
Penn State 64/70 = 0.914 vs. 85/82 = 1.181
Iowa 54/59 = 0.915 vs. 68/65 = 1.046
Georgia Tech 97/71 = 1.366 vs. 63/72 = 0.875
Georgetown 79/66 = 1.197 vs. 89/76 = 1.171
Oakland 74/67 = 1.104 vs. 62/55 = 1.127
North Florida 82/61 = 1.344 vs. 70/61 = 1.148
Niagara 71/63 = 1.127 vs. 57/72 = 0.792
Notre Dame I 87/70 = 1.213 vs. 88/76 = 1.158
Virginia Tech I 63/61 = 1.033 vs. 67/60 = 1.117
Virginia II 63/68 = 0.926 vs. 67/72 = 0.931
Boston Col I 76/60 = 1.267 vs. 50/65 = 0.769
Virginia Tech II 71/65 = 1.092 vs. 69/63 = 1.095
Notre Dame II 84/74 = 1.135 vs. 82-73 = 1.123
Pittsburgh I 69/66 = 1.045 vs. 61/65 = 0.938
Clemson 70/64 = 1.094 vs. 71/60 = 1.183
Duke 88/88 = 1.000 vs. 91/70 = 1.386
Wake Forest 75/70 = 1.071 vs. 73/74 = 0.986
NC State 74/77 = 0.961 vs. 79/61 = 1.295
Florida State 77/72 = 1.069 vs. 80/73 = 1.096
Louisville 66/69 = 0.957 vs. 90/73 = 1.154
Georgia Tech 79/68 = 1.162 vs. 72/64 = 1.125
Pittsburgh II 72/65 = 1.108 vs. 49/62 = 0.790
No Carolina I 79/72 = 1.097 vs. 92/72 = 1.278
Boston Col II 84/72 = 1.167 vs. 71/63 = 1.127
U of Miami 65/74 = 0.879 vs. 69/70 = 0.986
No Carolina II 81/72 = 1.125 vs. 53/66 = 0.803
Average: 2378/2182 = 1.073 vs. 2216/2136 = 1.037 We were 15-2 when we won this stat.
In wins: 1406/1200 = 1.172 vs. 1112/1176 = 0.946 In losses: 972/982 = 0.990 vs. 1104/960 = 1.150
This is a little more interesting as the winning team isn’t quite automatically the winner of this stat. But it’s close. Maybe I should skip the offensive reboudns and turnovers in figuring out the nubme rof possessions.
Team Shooting Efficiency
(Points minus missed field goals and free throws)
Virginia I 34 - 42 - 4 = -12 vs. 48 - 29 - 2 = +17
Colgate 70 – 27 – 5 = +38 vs. 54 – 42 - 2 = +10
Seattle 89 – 19 – 12 = +58 vs. 67 – 39 – 1 = +27
Cornell 72 – 28 – 6 = +38 vs. 53 – 26 – 6 = +21
Bucknell 97 – 29 – 2 = +66 vs. 46 – 26 – 4 = +16
Oklahoma St. 72 – 37 – 11 = +24 vs. 86 – 28 – 5 = +53
Penn State 64 – 36 – 11 = +17 vs. 85 – 40 – 11 = +34
Iowa 54 – 33 – 5 = +16 vs. 68 – 35 – 3 = +30
Georgia Tech 97 – 28 – 5 = +64 vs. 63 – 39 – 11 = +13
Georgetown 79 – 32 – 4 = +43 vs. 89 – 34 – 24 = +31
Oakland 74 – 34 – 3 = +37 vs. 62 – 25 - 4 = +33
North Florida 82 – 32 – 6 = +44 vs. 70 – 33 – 3 = +34
Niagara 71 – 30 – 4 = +37 vs. 57 – 46 – 2 = +9
Notre Dame I 87 – 33 – 3 = +50 vs. 88 – 38 – 4 = +46
Virginia Tech I 63 – 30 – 6 = +27 vs. 67 – 29 – 6 = +32
Virginia II 63 – 41 – 4 = +18 vs. 55 – 46 – 5 = +4
Boston Col I 76 – 26 – 0 = +50 vs. 50 – 41 – 4 = +5
Virginia Tech II 71 – 31 – 3 = +34 vs. 69 – 34 – 4 = +31
Notre Dame II 84 – 35 – 3 = +46 vs. 82 – 37 – 3 = +42
Pittsburgh I 69 – 31 – 7 = +31 vs. 61 – 33 – 6 = +22
Clemson 70 – 33 – 1 = +36 vs. 71 – 28 – 2 = +41
Duke 88 – 43 – 9 = +36 vs. 91 – 23 – 4 = +64
Wake Forest 75 – 34 – 6 = +35 vs. 73 – 38 – 6 = +29
NC State 74 – 39 – 6 = +29 vs. 79 – 23 – 10 = +46
Florida State 77 – 35 – 4 = +38 vs. 80 – 37 – 4 = +39
Louisville 66 – 37 – 5 = +24 vs. 90 – 34 – 9 = +47
Georgia Tech 79 – 28 – 8 = +43 vs. 72 – 28 – 8 = +36
Pittsburgh II 72 – 30 – 7 = +35 vs. 49 – 39 – 3 = +7
No Carolina I 79 – 35 – 2 = +42 vs. 92 – 31 – 2 = +59
Boston Col II 84 – 32 – 4 = +48 vs. 71 – 33 – 8 = +30
U of Miami 65 – 41 – 7 = +17 vs. 69 – 40 – 2 = +27
No Carolina II 81 – 32 - 10 = +39 vs. 53 – 40 – 2 = +11
Totals: 2378 – 1053 – 173 = +1152 vs. 2216 – 1110 – 152 = +954 We were 18-2 when we won this stat.
In wins: 1406 – 547 – 95 = +764 vs. 1112 – 645 – 82 = +385 In losses: 972 – 506 – 78 = +388 vs. 1104 – 465 – 70 = +569
We have higher combined percentages, (FG + Trey + FT) in every victory. Put the ball in the basket!
(Points scored divided by potential points scored if every shot was good)
Virginia I 34/146 = 23.4% vs. 48/129 = 37.2%
Colgate 70/139 = 50.4% vs. 54/168 = 32.1%
Seattle 89/153 = 58.2% vs. 67/163 = 41.1%
Cornell 72/151 = 47.7% vs. 53/132 = 40.2%
Bucknell 97/172 = 56.4% vs. 46/155 = 29.7%
Oklahoma St. 72/180 = 38.9% vs. 86/164 = 52.4%
Penn State 64/163 = 39.3% vs. 85/195 = 43.6%
Iowa 54/140 = 38.6% vs. 68/164 = 41.5%
Georgia Tech 97/177 = 54.8% vs. 63/167 = 37.7%
Georgetown 79/165 = 47.9% vs. 89/178 = 50.0%
Oakland 74/168 = 44.0% vs. 62/130 = 47.7%
North Florida 82/168 = 48.8% vs. 70/168 = 41.7%
Niagara 71/151 = 47.0% vs. 57/172 = 33.1%
Notre Dame I 87/172 = 50.6% vs. 88/184 = 47.8%
Virginia Tech I 63/140 = 50.6% vs. 67/171 = 39.2%
Virginia II 63/167 = 37.7% vs. 55/176 = 31.2%
Boston Col I 76/138 = 55.1% vs. 50/160 = 31.25%
Virginia Tech II 71/154 = 46.1% vs. 69/163 = 42.3%
Notre Dame II 84/175 = 48.0% vs. 82/182 = 45.1%
Pittsburgh I 69/154 = 44.8% vs. 61/149 = 40.9%
Clemson 70/156 = 44.9% vs. 71/148 = 48.0%
Duke 88/203 = 43.3% vs. 97/206 = 47.1%
Wake Forest 75/163 = 46.0% vs. 73/142 = 51.4%
NC State 74/173 = 42.8% vs. 79/149 = 53.0%
Florida State 77/169 = 45.6% vs. 80/172 = 46.5%
Louisville 66/164 = 40.2% vs. 90/172 = 52.3%
Georgia Tech 79/152 = 52.0% vs. 72/145 = 49.7%
Pittsburgh II 73/153 = 47.1% vs. 49/150 = 32.7%
No Carolina I 79/169 = 46.7% vs. 92/171 = 53.8%
Boston Col II 84/168 = 50.0% vs. 71/168 = 42.3%
U of Miami 65/174 = 37.4% vs. 69/172 = 40.1%
No Carolina II 81/174 = 46.7% vs. 53/172 = 30.8%
Average: 2378/5184 = 45.9% vs. 2216/5195 = 42.7% We were 14-3 when we won this stat.
In wins: 1406/2877 = 48.9% vs. 1112/2862 = 38.9% In losses: 972/2307 = 42.1% vs. 1104/2333 = 47.3%
Our offense was worse in the losses but our defense was a lot worse. But if they could consistently play as they do in the wins, we’d have a pretty good team.
Breakdown by Quarters
(Points scored between the beginning of the game and the 10 minute mark of the first half, then halftime, then the 10 minute mark of the second half, the end of regulation and then overtime if there was one)
Virginia I 2-10, 17-15, 8-12, 7-11
Colgate 15-13, 16-12, 20-9, 19-20
Seattle 28-17, 16-9, 19-28, 26-13
Cornell 20-16, 6-9, 18-14, 28-14
Bucknell 31-12, 20-14, 30-7, 16-13
Oklahoma St. 19-14, 12-29, 20-17, 21-26
Penn State 7-17, 15-17, 26-20, 16-31
Iowa 16-17, 13-13, 9-24, 16-14
Georgia Tech 29-12, 19-16, 25-17, 24-18
Georgetown 18-23, 18-25, 17-16, 26-25
Oakland 18-13, 25-22, 14-16, 17-11
North Florida 14-13, 21-20, 26-21, 21-16
Niagara 26-12, 15-16, 14-9, 16-20
Notre Dame I 18-23, 22-14, 16-27, 31-24
Virginia Tech I 12-9, 21-18, 11-15, 19-25
Virginia II 9-9, 15-9, 8-17, 11-8 OT: 20-8
Boston Col I 11-5, 27-8, 19-22, 19-15
Virginia Tech II 19-19, 17-9, 17-23, 18-18
Notre Dame II 19-30, 27-12, 22-18, 16-22
Pittsburgh I 18-7, 14-14, 17-14, 20-26
Clemson 11-17, 24-16, 17-16, 18-22
Duke 19-14, 17-26, 19-27, 33-30
Wake Forest 18-8, 20-22, 24-23, 13-20
NC State 11-17, 24-22, 25-17, 14-23
Florida State 19-22, 14-19, 18-16, 26-23
Louisville 17-22, 17-19, 10-26, 22-23
Georgia Tech 10-20, 17-18, 22-13, 30-21
Pittsburgh II 15-11, 22-10, 25-16, 10-12
No Carolina I 17-19, 18-21, 21-28, 23-24
Boston Col II 16-14, 19-13, 20-15, 29-29
Miami 13-13, 11-13, 13-7, 19-23 OT: 9-13
No Carolina II 19-10, 24-12, 21-21, 17-10
Totals: 534-478, 583-512, 591-571, 641-630 OT: 29-21
Averages: 17-15, 18-16, 18-18, 20-20 OT: 14.5-10.5
We’ve won 69 ‘quarters’ and one overtime and lost 51 and one overtime with 8 even. We’ve scored at least 15 points in 81 of 128 quarters.
People comment on our bad starts but mediocre second halves turned out to be the bigger problem.
Fouls
(Two point shots and free throws attempted per times fouled.)
Two point shots / Foul
Virginia I 26/7 = 3.71 vs. 12/6 = 2.00
Colgate 38/14 = 2.71 vs. 19/11 = 1.73
Seattle 24/26 = 0.92 vs. 37/16 = 2.31
Cornell 26/13 = 2.00 vs. 18/16 = 1.125
Bucknell 37/13 = 2.85 vs. 33/12 = 2.75
Oklahoma St. 25/24 = 1.04 vs. 29/20 = 1.45
Penn State 32/21 = 1.52 vs. 37/21 = 1.76
Iowa 31/15 = 2.06 vs. 27/13 = 2.08
Georgia Tech 24/20 = 1.20 vs. 30/20 = 1.50
Georgetown 30/14 = 2.14 vs. 36/23 = 1.57
Oakland 24/16 = 1.50 vs. 26/16 = 1.625
North Florida 33/20 = 1.65 vs. 9/15 = 0.60
Niagara 29/17 = 1.71 vs. 41/11 = 3.73
Notre Dame I 33/11 = 3.00 vs. 38/13 = 2.92
Virginia Tech I 36/18 = 2.00 vs. 14/17 = 0.82
Virginia II 31/18 = 1.72 vs. 36/17 = 2.12
Boston Col I 36/14 = 2.57 vs. 31/11 = 2.82
Virginia Tech II 36/14 = 2.57 vs. 22/14 = 1.57
Notre Dame II 40/14 = 2.86 vs. 32/14 = 2.29
Pittsburgh I 34/20 = 1.70 vs. 33/15 = 2.20
Clemson 30/13 = 2.31 vs. 26/12 = 1.625
Duke 44/29 = 1.52 vs. 37/25 = 1.48
Wake Forest 35/23 = 1.52 vs. 34/20 = 1.20
NC State 46/19 = 2.42 vs. 27/19 = 1.42
Florida State 38/22 = 1.73 vs. 40/20 = 2.00
Louisville 34/16 = 2.125 vs. 40/19 = 2.11
Georgia Tech 37/26 = 1.42 vs. 37/20 = 1.85
Pittsburgh II 34/17 = 2.00 vs. 29/13 = 2.23
No Carolina I 39/19 = 2.05 vs. 38/19 = 2.11
Boston Col II 25/19 = 1.76 vs. 16/19 = 1.45
U of Miami 40/15 = 2.67 vs. 32/16 = 2.00
No Carolina II 39/18 = 2.17 vs. 44/17 = 2.58
Average: 1080/567 = 1.90 vs. 973/522 = 1.86 We were 7-6 when we won this stat.
In wins: 594/285 = 2.08 vs. 630/277 = 2.27 In losses: 486/282 = 1.72 vs. 443/245 = 1.81
It varied from game to game but the overall number don’t suggest any bias for or against us by the refs.
Free Throws / Foul
Virginia I 7/7 = 1.00 vs. 6/12 = 0.50
Colgate 12/14 = 0.86 vs. 7/11 = 0.64
Seattle 36/26 = 1.38 vs. 14/16 = 0.875
Cornell 18/13 = 1.44 vs. 16/16 = 1.00
Bucknell 11/13 = 0.85 vs. 17/12 = 1.42
Oklahoma St. 37/24 = 1.54 vs. 28/20 = 1.40
Penn State 33/21 = 1.57 vs. 34/21 = 1.62
Iowa 15/15 = 1.00 vs. 8/13 = 0.62
Georgia Tech 40/19 = 2.11 vs. 18/19 = 0.95
Georgetown 9/14 = 0.64 vs. 31/23 = 1.35
Oakland 18/16 = 1.125 vs. 24/16 = 1.50
North Florida 24/20 = 1.20 vs. 12/15 = 0.80
Niagara 18/17 = 1.06 vs. 9/11 = 0.81
Notre Dame I 13/11 = 1.18 vs. 15/13 = 1.15
Virginia Tech I 17/18 = 0.94 vs. 21/17 = 1.24
Virginia II 15/18 = 0.83 vs. 11/17 = 0.65
Boston Col I 12/14 = 0.86 vs. 8/11 = 0.55
Virginia Tech II 10/14 = 0.71 vs. 8/14 = 0.57
Notre Dame II 17/14 = 1.21 vs. 10/14 = 0.71
Pittsburgh I 23/20 = 1.15 vs. 20/15 = 1.33
Clemson 15/13 = 1.15 vs. 12/16 = 0.75
Duke 37/29 = 1.28 vs. 33/25 = 1.32
Wake Forest 34/20 = 1.20 vs. 27/20 = 1.35
NC State 27/19 = 1.42 vs. 23/21 = 1.33
Florida State 18/22 = 0.82 vs. 17/20 = 0.85
Louisville 18/16 = 1.125 vs. 29/19 = 1.53
Georgia Tech 36/26 = 1.38 vs. 26/20 = 1.36
Pittsburgh II 19/17 = 1.12 vs. 14/13 = 1.08
No Carolina I 19/19 = 1.00 vs. 17/19 = 0.94
Boston Col II 25/19 = 1.19 vs. 10/19 = 0.91
U of Miami 19/15 = 1.27 vs. 15/16 = 0.94
No Carolina II 28/18 = 1.56 vs. 13/17 = 0.76
Average: 666/567 = 1.17 vs. 564/522 = 1.08 We were 8-5 when we won this stat.
In wins: 382/285 = 1.34 vs. 273/277 = 0.99 In losses: 284/282 = 1.01 vs. 291/245 = 1.19
I was thinking of dropping this stat next year but there does seem to a gap in wins vs. losses in terms of whether the refs call it a shooting foul or a common foul.
WINING PERCENTAGE WHEN WE WON A STAT:
Offensive Possession Efficiency 18-1 (0.947)
Combined Percentages 17-1 (0.944)
Team Shooting Efficiency 18-2 (0.900)
“Hustle” Stats: 16-2 (0.889)
Adjusted Possession Efficiency 15-2 (0.882)
Three-pointers 12-2 (0.857)
Rebounding: 11-2 (0.846)
Points between the paint & arc 10-2 (0.833)
Points divided by potential pts. 14-3 (0.824)
Manufactured Possessions: 16-4 (0.800)
Starter Scoring: 18-5 (0.783)
Bench Scoring: 7-2 (0.778)
POP (Points Outside the Paint) 10-3 (0.769)
Trey (Points from the Arc) 10-3 (0.769)
Fast Break Points 16-5 (0.762)
Two-pointers 11-4 (0.733)
Assist percentage 10-4 (0.714)
Points per Takeover: 9-4 (0.692)
PIP (Points in the Paint) 13-6 (0.684)
Fast Break Percentage 16-8 (0.667)
POTO (Points off Takeovers) 12-6 (0.667)
Unforced Turnovers: 7-4 (0.636)
Effective Offensive Rebounding: 10-6 (0.625)
First Chance Points 10-6 (0.625)
Free Throw attempts/foul 8-5 (0.615)
Unsettled Situations: 14-9 (0.609)
Second Chance Points: 10-7 (0.588)
Two Point attempts/fouls 7-6 (0.538)
Free-Throws: 9-8 (0.529)
The most important thing is to put the ball in the basket. The next most important thing is to get it if you don’t.
(Possessions: Field goals attempted - offensive rebounds + turnovers + 47.5% of free throws attempted. Efficiency is total points divided by possessions)
Virginia I 34/59 = 0.576 vs. 48/58 = 0.828 117 possessions
Colgate 70/63 = 1.111 vs. 59/64 = 0.844 127 possessions
Seattle 89/73 = 1.219 vs. 67/73 = 0.918 146 possessions
Cornell 72/56 = 1.248 vs. 53/55 = 0.964 111 possessions
Bucknell 97/74 = 1.311 vs. 46/75 = 0.613 149 possessions
Oklahoma St. 72/77 = 0.935 vs. 86/79 = 1.089 156 possessions
Penn State 64/75 = 0.853 vs. 85/73 = 1.164 148 possessions
Iowa 54/64 = 0.844 vs. 68/65 = 1.046 129 possessions
Georgia Tech 97/78 = 1.244 vs. 63/78 = 0.808 156 possessions
Georgetown 79/73 = 1.082 vs. 89/73 = 1.219 146 possessions
Oakland 74/62 = 1.138 vs. 62/64 = 0.969 129 possessions
North Florida 82/61 = 1.344 vs. 70/60 = 1.167 121 possessions
Niagara 71/67 = 1.060 vs. 57/67 = 0.851 134 possessions
Notre Dame I 87/68 = 1.261 vs. 88/68 = 1.294 136 possessions
Virginia Tech I 63/61 = 1.033 vs. 67/62 = 1.081 123 possessions
Virginia II 63/70 = 0.900 vs. 55/71 = 0.775 141 possessions
Boston Col I 76/67 = 1.134 vs. 50/66 = 0.758 133 possessions
Virginia Tech II 71/64 = 1.109 vs. 69/63 = 1.095 127 possessions
Notre Dame II 84/68 = 1.235 vs. 82/68 = 1.135 136 possessions
Pittsburgh I 69/69 = 1.000 vs. 61/68 = 0.897 137 possessions
Clemson 70/64 = 1.094 vs. 71/65 = 1.092 137 possessions
Duke 88/77 = 1.257 vs. 91/77 = 1.423 154 possessions
Wake Forest 75/72 = 1.042 vs. 73/73 = 1.000 145 possessions
NC State 74/77 = 0.961 vs. 79/76 = 1.039 153 possessions
Florida State 77/72 = 1.069 vs. 80/71 = 1.127 143 possessions
Louisville 66/74 = 0.891 vs. 90/75 = 1.200 149 possessions
Georgia Tech 79/73 = 1.082 vs. 72/73 = 0.986 146 possessions
Pittsburgh II 72/70 = 1.029 vs. 49/70 = 0.700 146 possessions
No Carolina I 79/71 = 1.113 vs. 92/70 = 1.314 141 possessions
Boston Col II 84/69 = 1.217 vs. 71/68 = 1.044 137 possessions
U of Miami 65/66 = 0.985 vs. 69/66 = 1.045 132 possessions
No Carolina II 81/69 = 1.174 vs. 53/68 = 0.779 137 possessions
Average: 2378/2209 = 1.077 vs. 2216/2200 = 1.007 We were 18-1 when we won this stat.
In wins: 1406/1225 = 1.148 vs. 1112/1224 = 0.908 In losses: 972/984 = 0.988 vs. 1104/976 = 1.131
I’ve been keeping track of this for about a decade and there have bene two occasions when the losing team won this stat, (due to rounding off in a close game). As I recall the other one was a Clemson game, too.
Adjusted Possession Efficiency
(Using just FGA + (.475 x FTA) to treat offensive rebounds as extra possessions and turnovers as lost possessions.)
Virginia I 34/52 = 0.654 vs. 48/58 = 0.828
Colgate 70/61 = 1.147 vs. 54/63 = 0.857
Seattle 89/64 = 1.391 vs. 67/69 = 0.971
Cornell 72/62 = 1.161 vs. 53/52 = 1.019
Bucknell 97/71 = 1.366 vs. 46/65 = 0.706
Oklahoma St. 72/74 = 0.973 vs. 86/68 = 1.265
Penn State 64/70 = 0.914 vs. 85/82 = 1.181
Iowa 54/59 = 0.915 vs. 68/65 = 1.046
Georgia Tech 97/71 = 1.366 vs. 63/72 = 0.875
Georgetown 79/66 = 1.197 vs. 89/76 = 1.171
Oakland 74/67 = 1.104 vs. 62/55 = 1.127
North Florida 82/61 = 1.344 vs. 70/61 = 1.148
Niagara 71/63 = 1.127 vs. 57/72 = 0.792
Notre Dame I 87/70 = 1.213 vs. 88/76 = 1.158
Virginia Tech I 63/61 = 1.033 vs. 67/60 = 1.117
Virginia II 63/68 = 0.926 vs. 67/72 = 0.931
Boston Col I 76/60 = 1.267 vs. 50/65 = 0.769
Virginia Tech II 71/65 = 1.092 vs. 69/63 = 1.095
Notre Dame II 84/74 = 1.135 vs. 82-73 = 1.123
Pittsburgh I 69/66 = 1.045 vs. 61/65 = 0.938
Clemson 70/64 = 1.094 vs. 71/60 = 1.183
Duke 88/88 = 1.000 vs. 91/70 = 1.386
Wake Forest 75/70 = 1.071 vs. 73/74 = 0.986
NC State 74/77 = 0.961 vs. 79/61 = 1.295
Florida State 77/72 = 1.069 vs. 80/73 = 1.096
Louisville 66/69 = 0.957 vs. 90/73 = 1.154
Georgia Tech 79/68 = 1.162 vs. 72/64 = 1.125
Pittsburgh II 72/65 = 1.108 vs. 49/62 = 0.790
No Carolina I 79/72 = 1.097 vs. 92/72 = 1.278
Boston Col II 84/72 = 1.167 vs. 71/63 = 1.127
U of Miami 65/74 = 0.879 vs. 69/70 = 0.986
No Carolina II 81/72 = 1.125 vs. 53/66 = 0.803
Average: 2378/2182 = 1.073 vs. 2216/2136 = 1.037 We were 15-2 when we won this stat.
In wins: 1406/1200 = 1.172 vs. 1112/1176 = 0.946 In losses: 972/982 = 0.990 vs. 1104/960 = 1.150
This is a little more interesting as the winning team isn’t quite automatically the winner of this stat. But it’s close. Maybe I should skip the offensive reboudns and turnovers in figuring out the nubme rof possessions.
Team Shooting Efficiency
(Points minus missed field goals and free throws)
Virginia I 34 - 42 - 4 = -12 vs. 48 - 29 - 2 = +17
Colgate 70 – 27 – 5 = +38 vs. 54 – 42 - 2 = +10
Seattle 89 – 19 – 12 = +58 vs. 67 – 39 – 1 = +27
Cornell 72 – 28 – 6 = +38 vs. 53 – 26 – 6 = +21
Bucknell 97 – 29 – 2 = +66 vs. 46 – 26 – 4 = +16
Oklahoma St. 72 – 37 – 11 = +24 vs. 86 – 28 – 5 = +53
Penn State 64 – 36 – 11 = +17 vs. 85 – 40 – 11 = +34
Iowa 54 – 33 – 5 = +16 vs. 68 – 35 – 3 = +30
Georgia Tech 97 – 28 – 5 = +64 vs. 63 – 39 – 11 = +13
Georgetown 79 – 32 – 4 = +43 vs. 89 – 34 – 24 = +31
Oakland 74 – 34 – 3 = +37 vs. 62 – 25 - 4 = +33
North Florida 82 – 32 – 6 = +44 vs. 70 – 33 – 3 = +34
Niagara 71 – 30 – 4 = +37 vs. 57 – 46 – 2 = +9
Notre Dame I 87 – 33 – 3 = +50 vs. 88 – 38 – 4 = +46
Virginia Tech I 63 – 30 – 6 = +27 vs. 67 – 29 – 6 = +32
Virginia II 63 – 41 – 4 = +18 vs. 55 – 46 – 5 = +4
Boston Col I 76 – 26 – 0 = +50 vs. 50 – 41 – 4 = +5
Virginia Tech II 71 – 31 – 3 = +34 vs. 69 – 34 – 4 = +31
Notre Dame II 84 – 35 – 3 = +46 vs. 82 – 37 – 3 = +42
Pittsburgh I 69 – 31 – 7 = +31 vs. 61 – 33 – 6 = +22
Clemson 70 – 33 – 1 = +36 vs. 71 – 28 – 2 = +41
Duke 88 – 43 – 9 = +36 vs. 91 – 23 – 4 = +64
Wake Forest 75 – 34 – 6 = +35 vs. 73 – 38 – 6 = +29
NC State 74 – 39 – 6 = +29 vs. 79 – 23 – 10 = +46
Florida State 77 – 35 – 4 = +38 vs. 80 – 37 – 4 = +39
Louisville 66 – 37 – 5 = +24 vs. 90 – 34 – 9 = +47
Georgia Tech 79 – 28 – 8 = +43 vs. 72 – 28 – 8 = +36
Pittsburgh II 72 – 30 – 7 = +35 vs. 49 – 39 – 3 = +7
No Carolina I 79 – 35 – 2 = +42 vs. 92 – 31 – 2 = +59
Boston Col II 84 – 32 – 4 = +48 vs. 71 – 33 – 8 = +30
U of Miami 65 – 41 – 7 = +17 vs. 69 – 40 – 2 = +27
No Carolina II 81 – 32 - 10 = +39 vs. 53 – 40 – 2 = +11
Totals: 2378 – 1053 – 173 = +1152 vs. 2216 – 1110 – 152 = +954 We were 18-2 when we won this stat.
In wins: 1406 – 547 – 95 = +764 vs. 1112 – 645 – 82 = +385 In losses: 972 – 506 – 78 = +388 vs. 1104 – 465 – 70 = +569
We have higher combined percentages, (FG + Trey + FT) in every victory. Put the ball in the basket!
(Points scored divided by potential points scored if every shot was good)
Virginia I 34/146 = 23.4% vs. 48/129 = 37.2%
Colgate 70/139 = 50.4% vs. 54/168 = 32.1%
Seattle 89/153 = 58.2% vs. 67/163 = 41.1%
Cornell 72/151 = 47.7% vs. 53/132 = 40.2%
Bucknell 97/172 = 56.4% vs. 46/155 = 29.7%
Oklahoma St. 72/180 = 38.9% vs. 86/164 = 52.4%
Penn State 64/163 = 39.3% vs. 85/195 = 43.6%
Iowa 54/140 = 38.6% vs. 68/164 = 41.5%
Georgia Tech 97/177 = 54.8% vs. 63/167 = 37.7%
Georgetown 79/165 = 47.9% vs. 89/178 = 50.0%
Oakland 74/168 = 44.0% vs. 62/130 = 47.7%
North Florida 82/168 = 48.8% vs. 70/168 = 41.7%
Niagara 71/151 = 47.0% vs. 57/172 = 33.1%
Notre Dame I 87/172 = 50.6% vs. 88/184 = 47.8%
Virginia Tech I 63/140 = 50.6% vs. 67/171 = 39.2%
Virginia II 63/167 = 37.7% vs. 55/176 = 31.2%
Boston Col I 76/138 = 55.1% vs. 50/160 = 31.25%
Virginia Tech II 71/154 = 46.1% vs. 69/163 = 42.3%
Notre Dame II 84/175 = 48.0% vs. 82/182 = 45.1%
Pittsburgh I 69/154 = 44.8% vs. 61/149 = 40.9%
Clemson 70/156 = 44.9% vs. 71/148 = 48.0%
Duke 88/203 = 43.3% vs. 97/206 = 47.1%
Wake Forest 75/163 = 46.0% vs. 73/142 = 51.4%
NC State 74/173 = 42.8% vs. 79/149 = 53.0%
Florida State 77/169 = 45.6% vs. 80/172 = 46.5%
Louisville 66/164 = 40.2% vs. 90/172 = 52.3%
Georgia Tech 79/152 = 52.0% vs. 72/145 = 49.7%
Pittsburgh II 73/153 = 47.1% vs. 49/150 = 32.7%
No Carolina I 79/169 = 46.7% vs. 92/171 = 53.8%
Boston Col II 84/168 = 50.0% vs. 71/168 = 42.3%
U of Miami 65/174 = 37.4% vs. 69/172 = 40.1%
No Carolina II 81/174 = 46.7% vs. 53/172 = 30.8%
Average: 2378/5184 = 45.9% vs. 2216/5195 = 42.7% We were 14-3 when we won this stat.
In wins: 1406/2877 = 48.9% vs. 1112/2862 = 38.9% In losses: 972/2307 = 42.1% vs. 1104/2333 = 47.3%
Our offense was worse in the losses but our defense was a lot worse. But if they could consistently play as they do in the wins, we’d have a pretty good team.
Breakdown by Quarters
(Points scored between the beginning of the game and the 10 minute mark of the first half, then halftime, then the 10 minute mark of the second half, the end of regulation and then overtime if there was one)
Virginia I 2-10, 17-15, 8-12, 7-11
Colgate 15-13, 16-12, 20-9, 19-20
Seattle 28-17, 16-9, 19-28, 26-13
Cornell 20-16, 6-9, 18-14, 28-14
Bucknell 31-12, 20-14, 30-7, 16-13
Oklahoma St. 19-14, 12-29, 20-17, 21-26
Penn State 7-17, 15-17, 26-20, 16-31
Iowa 16-17, 13-13, 9-24, 16-14
Georgia Tech 29-12, 19-16, 25-17, 24-18
Georgetown 18-23, 18-25, 17-16, 26-25
Oakland 18-13, 25-22, 14-16, 17-11
North Florida 14-13, 21-20, 26-21, 21-16
Niagara 26-12, 15-16, 14-9, 16-20
Notre Dame I 18-23, 22-14, 16-27, 31-24
Virginia Tech I 12-9, 21-18, 11-15, 19-25
Virginia II 9-9, 15-9, 8-17, 11-8 OT: 20-8
Boston Col I 11-5, 27-8, 19-22, 19-15
Virginia Tech II 19-19, 17-9, 17-23, 18-18
Notre Dame II 19-30, 27-12, 22-18, 16-22
Pittsburgh I 18-7, 14-14, 17-14, 20-26
Clemson 11-17, 24-16, 17-16, 18-22
Duke 19-14, 17-26, 19-27, 33-30
Wake Forest 18-8, 20-22, 24-23, 13-20
NC State 11-17, 24-22, 25-17, 14-23
Florida State 19-22, 14-19, 18-16, 26-23
Louisville 17-22, 17-19, 10-26, 22-23
Georgia Tech 10-20, 17-18, 22-13, 30-21
Pittsburgh II 15-11, 22-10, 25-16, 10-12
No Carolina I 17-19, 18-21, 21-28, 23-24
Boston Col II 16-14, 19-13, 20-15, 29-29
Miami 13-13, 11-13, 13-7, 19-23 OT: 9-13
No Carolina II 19-10, 24-12, 21-21, 17-10
Totals: 534-478, 583-512, 591-571, 641-630 OT: 29-21
Averages: 17-15, 18-16, 18-18, 20-20 OT: 14.5-10.5
We’ve won 69 ‘quarters’ and one overtime and lost 51 and one overtime with 8 even. We’ve scored at least 15 points in 81 of 128 quarters.
People comment on our bad starts but mediocre second halves turned out to be the bigger problem.
Fouls
(Two point shots and free throws attempted per times fouled.)
Two point shots / Foul
Virginia I 26/7 = 3.71 vs. 12/6 = 2.00
Colgate 38/14 = 2.71 vs. 19/11 = 1.73
Seattle 24/26 = 0.92 vs. 37/16 = 2.31
Cornell 26/13 = 2.00 vs. 18/16 = 1.125
Bucknell 37/13 = 2.85 vs. 33/12 = 2.75
Oklahoma St. 25/24 = 1.04 vs. 29/20 = 1.45
Penn State 32/21 = 1.52 vs. 37/21 = 1.76
Iowa 31/15 = 2.06 vs. 27/13 = 2.08
Georgia Tech 24/20 = 1.20 vs. 30/20 = 1.50
Georgetown 30/14 = 2.14 vs. 36/23 = 1.57
Oakland 24/16 = 1.50 vs. 26/16 = 1.625
North Florida 33/20 = 1.65 vs. 9/15 = 0.60
Niagara 29/17 = 1.71 vs. 41/11 = 3.73
Notre Dame I 33/11 = 3.00 vs. 38/13 = 2.92
Virginia Tech I 36/18 = 2.00 vs. 14/17 = 0.82
Virginia II 31/18 = 1.72 vs. 36/17 = 2.12
Boston Col I 36/14 = 2.57 vs. 31/11 = 2.82
Virginia Tech II 36/14 = 2.57 vs. 22/14 = 1.57
Notre Dame II 40/14 = 2.86 vs. 32/14 = 2.29
Pittsburgh I 34/20 = 1.70 vs. 33/15 = 2.20
Clemson 30/13 = 2.31 vs. 26/12 = 1.625
Duke 44/29 = 1.52 vs. 37/25 = 1.48
Wake Forest 35/23 = 1.52 vs. 34/20 = 1.20
NC State 46/19 = 2.42 vs. 27/19 = 1.42
Florida State 38/22 = 1.73 vs. 40/20 = 2.00
Louisville 34/16 = 2.125 vs. 40/19 = 2.11
Georgia Tech 37/26 = 1.42 vs. 37/20 = 1.85
Pittsburgh II 34/17 = 2.00 vs. 29/13 = 2.23
No Carolina I 39/19 = 2.05 vs. 38/19 = 2.11
Boston Col II 25/19 = 1.76 vs. 16/19 = 1.45
U of Miami 40/15 = 2.67 vs. 32/16 = 2.00
No Carolina II 39/18 = 2.17 vs. 44/17 = 2.58
Average: 1080/567 = 1.90 vs. 973/522 = 1.86 We were 7-6 when we won this stat.
In wins: 594/285 = 2.08 vs. 630/277 = 2.27 In losses: 486/282 = 1.72 vs. 443/245 = 1.81
It varied from game to game but the overall number don’t suggest any bias for or against us by the refs.
Free Throws / Foul
Virginia I 7/7 = 1.00 vs. 6/12 = 0.50
Colgate 12/14 = 0.86 vs. 7/11 = 0.64
Seattle 36/26 = 1.38 vs. 14/16 = 0.875
Cornell 18/13 = 1.44 vs. 16/16 = 1.00
Bucknell 11/13 = 0.85 vs. 17/12 = 1.42
Oklahoma St. 37/24 = 1.54 vs. 28/20 = 1.40
Penn State 33/21 = 1.57 vs. 34/21 = 1.62
Iowa 15/15 = 1.00 vs. 8/13 = 0.62
Georgia Tech 40/19 = 2.11 vs. 18/19 = 0.95
Georgetown 9/14 = 0.64 vs. 31/23 = 1.35
Oakland 18/16 = 1.125 vs. 24/16 = 1.50
North Florida 24/20 = 1.20 vs. 12/15 = 0.80
Niagara 18/17 = 1.06 vs. 9/11 = 0.81
Notre Dame I 13/11 = 1.18 vs. 15/13 = 1.15
Virginia Tech I 17/18 = 0.94 vs. 21/17 = 1.24
Virginia II 15/18 = 0.83 vs. 11/17 = 0.65
Boston Col I 12/14 = 0.86 vs. 8/11 = 0.55
Virginia Tech II 10/14 = 0.71 vs. 8/14 = 0.57
Notre Dame II 17/14 = 1.21 vs. 10/14 = 0.71
Pittsburgh I 23/20 = 1.15 vs. 20/15 = 1.33
Clemson 15/13 = 1.15 vs. 12/16 = 0.75
Duke 37/29 = 1.28 vs. 33/25 = 1.32
Wake Forest 34/20 = 1.20 vs. 27/20 = 1.35
NC State 27/19 = 1.42 vs. 23/21 = 1.33
Florida State 18/22 = 0.82 vs. 17/20 = 0.85
Louisville 18/16 = 1.125 vs. 29/19 = 1.53
Georgia Tech 36/26 = 1.38 vs. 26/20 = 1.36
Pittsburgh II 19/17 = 1.12 vs. 14/13 = 1.08
No Carolina I 19/19 = 1.00 vs. 17/19 = 0.94
Boston Col II 25/19 = 1.19 vs. 10/19 = 0.91
U of Miami 19/15 = 1.27 vs. 15/16 = 0.94
No Carolina II 28/18 = 1.56 vs. 13/17 = 0.76
Average: 666/567 = 1.17 vs. 564/522 = 1.08 We were 8-5 when we won this stat.
In wins: 382/285 = 1.34 vs. 273/277 = 0.99 In losses: 284/282 = 1.01 vs. 291/245 = 1.19
I was thinking of dropping this stat next year but there does seem to a gap in wins vs. losses in terms of whether the refs call it a shooting foul or a common foul.
WINING PERCENTAGE WHEN WE WON A STAT:
Offensive Possession Efficiency 18-1 (0.947)
Combined Percentages 17-1 (0.944)
Team Shooting Efficiency 18-2 (0.900)
“Hustle” Stats: 16-2 (0.889)
Adjusted Possession Efficiency 15-2 (0.882)
Three-pointers 12-2 (0.857)
Rebounding: 11-2 (0.846)
Points between the paint & arc 10-2 (0.833)
Points divided by potential pts. 14-3 (0.824)
Manufactured Possessions: 16-4 (0.800)
Starter Scoring: 18-5 (0.783)
Bench Scoring: 7-2 (0.778)
POP (Points Outside the Paint) 10-3 (0.769)
Trey (Points from the Arc) 10-3 (0.769)
Fast Break Points 16-5 (0.762)
Two-pointers 11-4 (0.733)
Assist percentage 10-4 (0.714)
Points per Takeover: 9-4 (0.692)
PIP (Points in the Paint) 13-6 (0.684)
Fast Break Percentage 16-8 (0.667)
POTO (Points off Takeovers) 12-6 (0.667)
Unforced Turnovers: 7-4 (0.636)
Effective Offensive Rebounding: 10-6 (0.625)
First Chance Points 10-6 (0.625)
Free Throw attempts/foul 8-5 (0.615)
Unsettled Situations: 14-9 (0.609)
Second Chance Points: 10-7 (0.588)
Two Point attempts/fouls 7-6 (0.538)
Free-Throws: 9-8 (0.529)
The most important thing is to put the ball in the basket. The next most important thing is to get it if you don’t.
