Crusty
Living Legend
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- May 21, 2012
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Needless to say, there are many variables - defense, score, time etc that will change tendencies so not too much can be made of down and distance analysis, nevertheless there are interesting things to observe.
Breaking down the plays with down and distance, the offense was, as most have observed, well balanced until the last quarter when Lester has nothing to lose by throwing it 74% of the time.
He was not kidding when he said he wanted to establish the run game and Gulley was his preferred back. Gulley got the ball 14 times on first down (12 runs and 2 passes) or 48% of the time. Gulley averaged 3.3 yards per carry on 1st down and caught 1 of 2 passes for 5 yards. All told, Gulley touched the ball or was targeted on an incomplete pass a total of 24 times or 35% of the plays.
Amazingly, we never had longer than 11 yards to go for a first down or goal. When was the last time that happened?
The only tendency I noticed thus far was Lester passed on third and short (5 or less) every time but one. As we get a larger sample we will learn more.
We had 68 plays from the LOS
1st Down and goal to go
We had 3 plays
Ran 2 times
Passed once
1st Down and 10 or fewer yards to go
We had 26 plays:
Ran 16 times
Passed 10 times
1st Down and more than 10 yards to go
None!
2nd Down and 5 or fewer yards to go
We had 13 plays:
Ran 7 times
Passed 6 times completed 2
2nd Down and more than 5 yards to go
We had 11 plays:
Ran 4 times with no pattern as to carrier
Passed 7 times completed 5; intercepted once
3rd Down and goal to go
We had 2 plays:
Ran once
Passed once completed none
3rd Down and 5 or fewer yards to go
We had 5 plays:
Ran zero times
Passed 5 times completed 4
3rd Down and 5 or fewer yards to go
We had 7 plays:
Ran once
Passed 6 times completed 4; intercepted once
4th Down and Goal
We had one down:
Passed once
Breaking down the plays with down and distance, the offense was, as most have observed, well balanced until the last quarter when Lester has nothing to lose by throwing it 74% of the time.
He was not kidding when he said he wanted to establish the run game and Gulley was his preferred back. Gulley got the ball 14 times on first down (12 runs and 2 passes) or 48% of the time. Gulley averaged 3.3 yards per carry on 1st down and caught 1 of 2 passes for 5 yards. All told, Gulley touched the ball or was targeted on an incomplete pass a total of 24 times or 35% of the plays.
Amazingly, we never had longer than 11 yards to go for a first down or goal. When was the last time that happened?
The only tendency I noticed thus far was Lester passed on third and short (5 or less) every time but one. As we get a larger sample we will learn more.
We had 68 plays from the LOS
First Downs 29
Seconds Downs 24
Third Downs 14
Fourth Downs 1
Seconds Downs 24
Third Downs 14
Fourth Downs 1
1st Down and goal to go
We had 3 plays
Ran 2 times
Passed once
1st Down and 10 or fewer yards to go
We had 26 plays:
Ran 16 times
Passed 10 times
1st Down and more than 10 yards to go
None!
2nd Down and 5 or fewer yards to go
We had 13 plays:
Ran 7 times
Passed 6 times completed 2
2nd Down and more than 5 yards to go
We had 11 plays:
Ran 4 times with no pattern as to carrier
Passed 7 times completed 5; intercepted once
3rd Down and goal to go
We had 2 plays:
Ran once
Passed once completed none
3rd Down and 5 or fewer yards to go
We had 5 plays:
Ran zero times
Passed 5 times completed 4
3rd Down and 5 or fewer yards to go
We had 7 plays:
Ran once
Passed 6 times completed 4; intercepted once
4th Down and Goal
We had one down:
Passed once
