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Message: [QUOTE="upperdeck, post: 3977825, member: 474"] to me if you think your D is playing well in a game like that take the 3 and the lead because we still need to go 90 or 75 after a kick and if you miss the kick or fail on 4th down its the same result. if its a 45-42 score where D isnt working then go for the TD there. Metrics fail in many ways.. They only measure the results of plays that happened not the plays that could have happened.. like many other stats you have small sample size and it ignores the quality of the team making the decision. if you are a high flying passing team that struggles in the compressed red zone its hard to throw down there . if you are Ala who runs on everyone much easier.. the stats put both teams with the same chance to score in that spot [/QUOTE]