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[QUOTE="HoustonCuse, post: 1001836, member: 87"]
Cuseatduke, you have several good points, but also several poor or contradictory points:

1. Agree judgment is hugely clouded in this crowd. Both by our fandom and the insistence that we consider how the player will do in the NBA. How we think the player will perform in the NBA is irrelevant, the scouts and GMs worry about that. And if they fail in the NBA it really has no effect since they are long gone by the time that is known.

2. I am torn on this argument you make about development in an NBA structure vs. a college structure. You say they will get professional coaching in the NBA, what are they getting at Syracuse? I would also suspect that the type of coaching they get in college is more geared toward player development. NBA coaches are managers not teachers. In college, practice time is very limited by NCAA rules, but in the pros it is limited by the actual game and travel schedule. Any developmental coaching a player gets in the NBA is by hiring personal coaches in the off season, Syracuse places it's players in the very best camps every summer.

3. You say the better coaching is the main advantage of leaving and then say player development is up to the player themselves primarily, meaning development will be equal in both places.

Going back to #1, none of this matters. If a player gets advice or just thinks he will go in a Top 15 range, they will leave about 90% of the time, if they are projected lower, but still first round, they will leave 60% of the time.
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