Reply to thread

Message

[QUOTE="cuseatduke, post: 1002006, member: 1632"]
Fair enough. It is possible TE could go higher in the 2015 draft. But I think people sometimes get too caught up with the word "could". Just because you [I]could [/I]improve your draft position, doesn't mean you will. Injury is a possibility (yes you can insure against it but insurance by definition is expensive as hell, you overpay for it or else the insurer wouldnt write it). TE would only improve his draft stock if he showed meaningful improvement year over year. In my estimation, TE is close to a finished product as a basketball player. I love the guy. But he is not some freak athlete with developing skills that can improve a lot more. He is already pretty polished. What exactly can he hope to improve that will meaningfully boost his stock next year?

You have to look at it as an expected value outcome. Coming back could go in his favor, but it could also go against him. He could also go in the same spot, in which case he lost a year of income. Based on what I've seen in previous years with other players, I would expect coming back to not help his draft stock tremendously (it won't be a popular opinion, but I think he could even be a bit overrated by NBA scouts at the moment, in which case he should strike while the iron is hot). Another year could help his stock, but I think the likelihood is that he will flatline or fall if he merely replicates his awesome year.
[/QUOTE]

Verification

What is a Syracuse fan's favorite color?