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Message: [QUOTE="jncuse, post: 2104525, member: 1969"] You could be, and I hope you are right. I am using the matrix as the "best available proxy" for what the committee is thinking. But I can certainly see us as being ahead of Xavier and USC. Or perhaps the committee hates something about us and has us behind Kansas St. We can only guess where we are on the s-curve. If we are #2 per above, we must beat Miami there is no other way. If we are #4 or #5 last in per the committee, then we probably have created just enough space to survive a loss. But let's just win and make it easy. [/QUOTE]