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Message: [QUOTE="Fat tire 13, post: 4297439, member: 6171"] Actually it's not that crazy if you think it terms of probabilities There are plenty posters more on top of all the various headlines and outcomes, but if you look at it in this simple way it makes sense - *just spitballing probabilities here 60%- shuffling puts us in a worse place in all sports 25% - stays roughly the same 15% - better place If there is a way to remain top tier in basketball, and mid-major like in football, maybe that's the most realistic best case scenario. I still think we strive for those better outcomes, but don't be too slow to adapt if the chips don't fall the right way. It's sad to go down that road but need to be realistic too. [/QUOTE]