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Message: [QUOTE="TinyManInside, post: 2109598, member: 1251"] This is an extremely important point. I think a lot of people here take for granted that we made the final four last year as a 10 seed. It was a statistical anomaly (the only 10 seed to make the FF since the NCAAT expanded to 64 teams in 1985). The single greatest predictor of post-season success is to have an exceptional regular season. 1 seeds (47 births) and 2 seeds (27 births) make up 58% of all Final Four teams since 1985. >80% of all final four teams come from top 4 seeds. Losing 10-14 regular season games a year is not a recipe for continued and sustained success in the NCAA tourney. Sure, anything can happen during a single season, but the likelihood of making a FF run plummets once you're slotted as a 5 seed or lower. Mason [/QUOTE]