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[QUOTE="Millhouse, post: 351280, member: 78"]
that translates into "maximizing the number of plays where we have any chance at all" not "maximizing our chance of winning"
 
coaches don't think in probabilities. because they're stupid. they don't know what probabilities even are and even if they did, they can't think of it fast enough so instead of solving a probabilities question, they substitute in a question they can answer.
 
what gives us the best chance to win? [I]i don't *cking know, i know what increases the number of plays where we have even a slim chance - PUNT[/I]
 
Daniel Kahneman "Thinking Fast and Slow" Amazing book. Talks about how people substitute answerable questions for questions they can't answer. A lot of posters here should read it and get smarter
 
any chart combining time remaining, points behind, down and distance, and field position will be too complex for these dummies to decipher in a short amount of time.  i think we're stuck with this stupidity until the dinosaurs retire
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