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Message: [QUOTE="OrangeTown, post: 351361, member: 942"] Average yards per play is not a good indicator to use in making that determination. If there have been 10 plays, with one play going for 100 yards, and the other 9 for zero, you're still averaging 10 yards per play, which would seem to insinuate an almost guaranteed 1st down over the course of 3 plays. Extreme, of course, but just using some easy numbers. I'd have to guess the standard deviation in USC's situation is fairly high. Stats are only as good as the person using them and the context in which they're used. Quite often, one's own eyes and instinct/knowledge are just as, if not more valuable. Did I like the call? Not really. But how can I pass up a chance to disagree with Millhouse? [/QUOTE]