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Message: [QUOTE="Millhouse, post: 733252, member: 78"] one of those turnovers with a long field was after they already got a couple first downs. if they repeated that drive, the turnover wouldn't have happened because the game would've been over. what really matters there was how likely were they to get a first down. which is pretty likely no matter where they were on the field. 3 out of 4 times they had 75+ yards to go, they got a first down (CHERRY PICKED i admit it) if we're going to go by field position from one game, they're good inside their 20, bad from the twenties, and good from the 30s on. we're getting into randomness here. there aren't giant swings in your ability to get one first down outside of getting pinned at the goal line. (that's a big reason to go for it near the goal line but that's beside the point). i am not all that confident in any punters ability to pin people really deep. [/QUOTE]