impact strength of schedule has on SU's record historically | Syracusefan.com

impact strength of schedule has on SU's record historically

Millhouse

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quick and dirty here using college football references strength of schedule

using babers's worst SOS as the threshold and throwing out gerg because he messes up everything

when the schedule is harder than babers's first year going back to 1949 (i picked ben s's first year), we have a 40% winning percentage. when it's easier than that, we have a 62% winning percentage.

if you start at 1980, it's 44% vs 60%

if you start at 1990, it's 49% to 57%

so babers still has some work to do at 33%. chalk up a lot of it to schedule and to terrible depth thanks to shafer.
 
quick and dirty here using college football references strength of schedule

using babers's worst SOS as the threshold and throwing out gerg because he messes up everything

when the schedule is harder than babers's first year going back to 1949 (i picked ben s's first year), we have a 40% winning percentage. when it's easier than that, we have a 62% winning percentage.

if you start at 1980, it's 44% vs 60%

if you start at 1990, it's 49% to 57%

so babers still has some work to do at 33%. chalk up a lot of it to schedule and to terrible depth thanks to shafer.
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quick and dirty here using college football references strength of schedule

using babers's worst SOS as the threshold and throwing out gerg because he messes up everything

when the schedule is harder than babers's first year going back to 1949 (i picked ben s's first year), we have a 40% winning percentage. when it's easier than that, we have a 62% winning percentage.

if you start at 1980, it's 44% vs 60%

if you start at 1990, it's 49% to 57%

so babers still has some work to do at 33%. chalk up a lot of it to schedule and to terrible depth thanks to shafer.

Nice - So you’re saying this year should produce something that gets Dino’s aggregate to at least the 40%s, right?
 
I imagine the challenge is that SU's SOS is going to be perpetually difficult as long as the ACC Atlantic is one of the top 2-3 divisions in college football. We may need better depth than we ever have had, historically speaking, just to produce 8 wins/year.
 
Nice - So you’re saying this year should produce something that gets Dino’s aggregate to at least the 40%s, right?
no this year is going to suck too
 
I imagine the challenge is that SU's SOS is going to be perpetually difficult as long as the ACC Atlantic is one of the top 2-3 divisions in college football. We may need better depth than we ever have had, historically speaking, just to produce 8 wins/year.
the other division has the type of SOS that we want. just in the top 50-60, not top 20

19th and 21st hardest schedule for babers's first years

i refuse to type babers'. we're only coached by one of the babersesess.

people with s at the end of their last name need to change their name
 
I imagine the challenge is that SU's SOS is going to be perpetually difficult as long as the ACC Atlantic is one of the top 2-3 divisions in college football. We may need better depth than we ever have had, historically speaking, just to produce 8 wins/year.

I still think there’s a “tipping point” for this O that Dino talked about as the midway through year 2 thing that will help mitigate the talent disparity a bit.

I also think it’s unlikely that Wake, NC State, and BC all keep trending above their historical average
 
I still think there’s a “tipping point” for this O that Dino talked about as the midway through year 2 thing that will help mitigate the talent disparity a bit.

I also think it’s unlikely that Wake, NC State, and BC all keep trending above their historical average

It's just bad timing for Dino that Clawson and Doeren both had a head start. If people want to understand that building a program takes time, look no further.

With Louisville, all the pieces fell into place for them to get round 2 with Petrino. He left for greener pastures but then screwed up his life and got a soft landing sequel.

As for BC, one stud RB can help mask all of Addazio's deficiencies. But he gets credit for landing him.
 
people with s at the end of their last name need to change their name

Is there an official thread of Millhouse-isms like this somewhere? A la an all-inclusive Rutgirls Dumpster thread?

There might need to be.
 
I imagine the challenge is that SU's SOS is going to be perpetually difficult as long as the ACC Atlantic is one of the top 2-3 divisions in college football. We may need better depth than we ever have had, historically speaking, just to produce 8 wins/year.

Respectfully, good sir, the Atlantic will remain THE power because of Syracuse. Our Orange will be the tide lifting all boats in the Atlantic Division, and probably lift a few in the Coastal, too. We will turn away four-star kids simply because we cannot accept lesser questionable talent. In five years, fans will ask what the Big10 is. In 10 years, the same fans will ask whether Alabama, LSU, and TAMU (my youngest wants to go there) are the only three teams in the SEC!

Steps down from soap box, removes Orange colored glasses...

On a serious note, depth will be a challenge but I think it will be easier to recruit when kids realize the Babers system is a winner and see the fun...and STATS...other kids have, several talented kids that don't want to ride the pine will look for a good place to land, pad stats and get noticed by the NFL.
 

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