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[QUOTE="007, post: 1426219, member: 393"]
I'm not sure if your use of the phrase "plucking the recruiting numbers" was meant to be dismissive or not. In any case, the correlation between class rankings and winning is significant. This is not an opinion. It is a statistical conclusion of significance based on analysis of 12 years of data.

So knowing that, you have a threshold or baseline from which you can look at the importance of other factors you mentioned, which are much more difficult to quantify. The expectation is that higher class rankings will result in higher winning percentages over time. In the short-term, it's reasonable to assume that coaching, resources, and money will impact  those outcomes, either positively and  negatively. It would not be statistically unusual to find some coaches who consistently outperform class rankings (btw, those are the guys you want to look for). But again, the occurrence of those outcomes (either positive or negative) do NOT disprove the correlation between rankings and winning. What it probably does "prove" is that those coaches who consistently outperform their team talent rankings are highly valuable (where value = winning).

What can SU do to try to win more? Without question, the option with the highest probability of success is to recruit and sign higher rated players. Short of that, the next best option, IMO anyway, is to make sure you have a HC who is consistently outperforming the rankings of the talent he/the school is getting.
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