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[QUOTE="javadoc, post: 1369461, member: 338"]
Is he on a 4-year or 5-year deal?  Unless the guy is a complete bum that warrants firing with cause, or turns out to be a superstar from the get-go, I don't think you can make any decisions about contract extensions until midway through his penultimate season.  So if he is on a 5-year contract, I would not expect the AD to extend his contract until we see what the team is doing halfway through his 4th year, next season for us (2016-2017).  If the wheels are clearly coming off, then you can think about firing the guy after year 4 if you have the money.  If things are puttering along and you think that stability will help, then extend him for three more years, enough to give that year's recruits confidence that the guy will be there for at least four years of their time on the hill.  But that extension has to include provisions that make it easier to fire the guy without a huge buyout, because it is a probationary extension.  If things are clearly looking up midway through year 4, extend for another five years.

Recruits know the deal.  As long as the guy is guaranteed to be there for the first year you are in school, that's all you can reasonably expect.  Coaches can bolt for greener pastures at any time.  I am not a fan of coaches bailing after kids have signed LOI's, though.  That's one wrinkle that will need to be figured out with an early signing period, IMO.
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