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Message: [QUOTE="Knicks411, post: 885010, member: 767"] I agree with that, to an extent, but I dont think that is a problem with the model; that's a problem with predicting the results of matchups that have any number of factors that are difficult and/or impossible to measure. It would be the same problem with one of us predicting the outcome of a game. The eye test is certainly important, but part of the problem I have with it is that it's really hard, especially in college hoops. There are 351 teams, they all play roughly 30 games a year. No one (Marsh, maybe?) is going to be able to watch any significant % of those games. So if an SU fan is gonna say the eye test tells than Ennis is a better player thn Aaron Gordon or Julius Ranfle or whoever (which he very well might be); the fact of the matter is that while they probably have seen 95% of the minutes Ennis played, they have seen what, 10 or 15% of the minutes the other guys have played? [/QUOTE]