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Message: [QUOTE="jncuse, post: 3297939, member: 1969"] You tend to get some fairly significant deviations from KP to AP rankings, once you get to about #8 for example since it is margin based rather than W/L based. Like all good analytics they should still never be taken as gospel, since they have known limitations. If I gave you 7 to 1 odds for the following group to win the National Title would you take it? Based on KenPom rankings in Mid-December, I took 10 teams that had strong KP rankings but were still lagging in odds to win the National Title, with a targeted fixed payout. ** Baylor 50-1 Florida St 80-1 Butler 125-1 Purdue 80-1 Ohio St 28-1 Iowa 125-1 Penn St 80-1 Seton Hall 80-1 West Virginia 70-1 San Diego St 70-1 If I had avoided Ohio St, which cost me the most, it would be 9-1. For the most part the KP rankings projected fairly well as all those teams with the exception of Ohio St. ** I am a pansy when it comes to betting so the payout is low. [/QUOTE]