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Message: [QUOTE="omniorange, post: 2546044, member: 636"] Interesting. Yesterday I decided to look at JB's record in the tourney over a specific period of time. I decided to begin with SU's first major run in the tourney under Jimmy, which was 1987 forward overall (the article's data began two years earlier). I was going to wait until this tourney was over before posting this, but since I believe the data supports the above article, I will post now. My approach was based upon seedings. I divided it into three seed-levels. How well the Orange did against teams that were seeded at least two levels below SU (e.g. 1 vs 3 or lower), against teams that were seeded at least two levels above SU (e.g. 4 vs a 2 or a 1), and against teams which were seeded at the same level or "+" or "-" one (e.g. 2 vs 2, 10 vs 11, or 9 vs 8). Overall, the data is for 32 seasons of which our Orange made the tourney 25 times (the 7 seasons not part of the tourney include 2 seasons of probation and 5 not being chosen) For all 25 seasons the Orange made the tourney, the overall records currently (through the round of 32 this year) stand at: [b]Against teams seeded at least two levels below SU:[/b] 37-9 - 80.4% [b]Against teams seeded at least two levels above SU:[/b] 7-6 - 53.8% [b]Against teams seeded at the same level or within 1 of SU:[/b] 9-7 - 56.3% Then I divided the 32 seasons into two groupings of 16 seasons and the results for the 1986-87 through 2001-02 seasons were as follows: [b]Against teams seeded at least two levels below SU:[/b] 21-3 - 87.5% [b]Against teams seeded at least two levels above SU:[/b] 0-5 - 0% [b]Against teams seeded at the same level or within 1 of SU:[/b] 4-4 - 50% For the seasons of 2002-03 through the round of 32 games of 2017-18 the results were: [b]Against teams seeded at least two levels below SU:[/b] 16-6 - 72.7% [b]Against teams seeded at least two levels above SU:[/b] 7-1 - 87.5% [b]Against teams seeded at the same level or within 1 of SU:[/b] 5-3 - 62.5% What I found interesting with the "two eras" breakdown was that JB has done much better recently against teams the Orange should not have beaten in the tourney but slightly less well against those teams that theoretically they should have beaten. I believe the former is the result of our having two decent runs (2016 and the current one) as a double digit seed, although our NC year as a 3 beating two 1 seeds helped as well. As for the latter (which somewhat brings into question the notion of our Orange not losing to teams seeded below them as much as we did in the past) I sum up to the Orange being overseeded in 2005 (with a wounded GMac) up against an A&M team that was even more vastly underseeded that year and of course Onuaku's injury in 2010. Take either one of those losses and toss it into the more evenly matched category and the only standout statistical imbalance would be how much better the Orange is performing against teams we shouldn't be. LGO and let's keep beating those teams seeded two levels or more above us. :) Cheers, Neil [/QUOTE]

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