SWC75
Bored Historian
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Here are the actual high temperatures in Syracuse for each day in July 2019 compared to the average high, (based on stats that go back to 1901) and the difference that day, + or – as well as a running deficit or surfeit. Here is the website I used for these numbers:
The numbers are the date, the actual high, the historical average high, the net difference, the cumulative net since January 1st, the numbers of days we exceeded the historical average, the number of days we didn't reach it and the number of days we tied it.
July 2019:
07/01 81 – 81 = 0 = -138 76-97-9
07/02 81 – 81 = 0 = -138 76-97-10
07/03 89 – 81 = +8 = -130 77-97-10
07/04 91 – 81 = +10 = -120 78-97-10
07/05 93 – 91 = +12 = - 108 79-97-10
07/06 85 – 81 = +4 = -104 80-97-10
07/07 83 – 82 = +1 = -103 81-97-10
07/08 83 – 82 = +1 = -102 82-97-10
07/09 87 – 82 = +5 = -97 83-97-10
07/10 92 – 82 = +10 = -87 84-97-10
07/11 86 – 82 = +4 = -83 85-97-10
07/12 77 – 82 = -5 = -88 85-98-10
07/13 87 – 82 = +5 = -83 86-98-10
07/14 81 – 82 = -1 = -84 86-99-10
07/15 84 – 82 = +2 = -82 87-99-10
07/16 95 – 82 = +13 = -69 88-99-10
07/17 78 – 82 = -4 = -73 88-100-10
07/18 88 – 82 = +6 = -67 89-100-10
07/19 92 – 82 = +10 = -57 90-100-10
07/20 93 – 82 = +11 = -46 91-100-10
07/21 86 – 82 = +4 = -42 92-100-10
07/22 71 – 82 = -11 = -53 92-101-10
07/23 82 – 82 = 0 = -53 92-101-11
07/24 82 – 82 = 0 = -53 92-101-12
07/25 82 – 82 = 0 = -53 92-101-13
07/26 86 – 82 = +4 = -49 93-101-13
07/27 89 – 82 = +7 = -42 94-101-13
07/28 87 – 82 = +5 = -37 95-101-13
07/29 91 – 82 = +9 = -28 96-101-13
07/30 90 – 82 = +8 = -20 97-101-13
07/31 82 – 82 = 0 = -20 97-101-14
Comment: July was all about regression to the mean. It was a warm month, +118 degrees and we exceeded the average high 21 times while failing to reach it only 4 times. But we hit it exactly no less than 6 times. Since I began keeping track of temperatures, (January 2014) that’s two more such days than any other month. And, since we started the month down 138 degrees and 21 days and ended it down 20 degrees and 4 days, the year is just evening itself out. I would just prefer that the correction not take place in July.
2019 Month by Month
January -49 12-18-1
February +9 12-15-1
March -58 13-18
April +33 17-13
May -50 11-17-3
June -23 11-16-3
July +118 21-4-6
Julys
2014 +14 9-14-8
2015 -20 13-15-3
2016 +60 18-11-2
2017 -65 10-19-2
2018 +90 20-11-0
2019 +118 21-4-6
The numbers are the date, the actual high, the historical average high, the net difference, the cumulative net since January 1st, the numbers of days we exceeded the historical average, the number of days we didn't reach it and the number of days we tied it.
July 2019:
07/01 81 – 81 = 0 = -138 76-97-9
07/02 81 – 81 = 0 = -138 76-97-10
07/03 89 – 81 = +8 = -130 77-97-10
07/04 91 – 81 = +10 = -120 78-97-10
07/05 93 – 91 = +12 = - 108 79-97-10
07/06 85 – 81 = +4 = -104 80-97-10
07/07 83 – 82 = +1 = -103 81-97-10
07/08 83 – 82 = +1 = -102 82-97-10
07/09 87 – 82 = +5 = -97 83-97-10
07/10 92 – 82 = +10 = -87 84-97-10
07/11 86 – 82 = +4 = -83 85-97-10
07/12 77 – 82 = -5 = -88 85-98-10
07/13 87 – 82 = +5 = -83 86-98-10
07/14 81 – 82 = -1 = -84 86-99-10
07/15 84 – 82 = +2 = -82 87-99-10
07/16 95 – 82 = +13 = -69 88-99-10
07/17 78 – 82 = -4 = -73 88-100-10
07/18 88 – 82 = +6 = -67 89-100-10
07/19 92 – 82 = +10 = -57 90-100-10
07/20 93 – 82 = +11 = -46 91-100-10
07/21 86 – 82 = +4 = -42 92-100-10
07/22 71 – 82 = -11 = -53 92-101-10
07/23 82 – 82 = 0 = -53 92-101-11
07/24 82 – 82 = 0 = -53 92-101-12
07/25 82 – 82 = 0 = -53 92-101-13
07/26 86 – 82 = +4 = -49 93-101-13
07/27 89 – 82 = +7 = -42 94-101-13
07/28 87 – 82 = +5 = -37 95-101-13
07/29 91 – 82 = +9 = -28 96-101-13
07/30 90 – 82 = +8 = -20 97-101-13
07/31 82 – 82 = 0 = -20 97-101-14
Comment: July was all about regression to the mean. It was a warm month, +118 degrees and we exceeded the average high 21 times while failing to reach it only 4 times. But we hit it exactly no less than 6 times. Since I began keeping track of temperatures, (January 2014) that’s two more such days than any other month. And, since we started the month down 138 degrees and 21 days and ended it down 20 degrees and 4 days, the year is just evening itself out. I would just prefer that the correction not take place in July.
2019 Month by Month
January -49 12-18-1
February +9 12-15-1
March -58 13-18
April +33 17-13
May -50 11-17-3
June -23 11-16-3
July +118 21-4-6
Julys
2014 +14 9-14-8
2015 -20 13-15-3
2016 +60 18-11-2
2017 -65 10-19-2
2018 +90 20-11-0
2019 +118 21-4-6
