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[QUOTE="NYCorange, post: 1964088, member: 4918"]
Nice first post and welcome CJOJ! I completely agree with you about Battle. I think that he's more than likely back next year. I think the reason that so many think he's gone is his outstanding measurables and the general belief that he was under-ranked by the recruiting services due to his injury. Also, as your own data shows, in the most recent years we've tended to lose our top recruits after one year. Also, if you consider a player's first year the first one that he got major minutes, you can add MCW and Grant to your list, as well as Waiters and Melo from the year before (although maybe they were higher ranked).  But I agree with you, I don't think Battle ends up getting the minutes to leave. In fact, I think there's a decent chance that Lydon returns as well. He's going to be stuck playing out of position most of the year (SF, and to a lesser extent C), and I think he'll struggle relative to the potential that we see in him. It might drop his draft stock enough to keep him here as well.

In general, I tend to think that if players return after a year in which they've gotten major minutes, is much more likely than we think that they'll continue to return because their games get picked apart. I think we've got a small chance to keep Lydon for 4 years and Battle at least 2. I know that also puts me in the minority around here.
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