You know who is "probably" playing really good basketball right now -- friends of the board, Wichita St.
I put "probably" because as usual we are relying on victory margins against decent teams to make assessments, which is difficult. But they are not just winning every game in the MVC, they are pounding teams. Due to their early season play (Injuries) they will not likely get above a 5 seed. I wouldn't want to be in their bracket especially if you are concerned about your team's ability to defend guards.