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[QUOTE="DomeHolmes, post: 5573720, member: 10113"]
Here are Houston’s offensive results and the keys to the game as I see it:

-Houston is not near the team they were last year on offense (so far). 
-they are only scoring 76 points a game playing 4 cupcakes plus Auburn.
-they are only 30% from 3 (vs. 40% last year).  Again vs. mostly cupcakes.
-they only shoot 45% as a team (vs cupcakes) we shoot 52%.
-Against Auburn their 3 big returners Uzan, Tugler and Sharp shot I believe 11-34.  They are also as a group only scoring 34 a game vs. 30 last year.
-The freshmen, Flemings and Cenac were out of their minds vs Auburn.  (16-23 for 40 points).

-Here is the most amazing stat.  In four games we have MADE as many Freethrows (54) , as they have even ATTEMPTED, in 5 games!!

Their clear advantages are Freethrow %, Offensive rebounding, and proven history of great defense in big games, (and belief they will win)

The keys:

-will we put our best wing defender, Kings on Flemings, and can he hold him to 15 or so?

Can we play better D than Auburn, and keep them in the 60s?  In Cupcake vs Cupcake games we are 13 points better than Auburn on Defense.

Can we take care of the ball? Houston creates 10 steals per game.

So in a nutshell, I think it’s pretty simple, their statistical numbers  are not overwhelming/intimidating at all.  Just keep them to their season averages vs a weak schedule.   45%/30%, 11 free throws, 14 ORB (dare I dream), no more than 10 steals by them, and we will surely be in the game.
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