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[QUOTE="OrangeZeus, post: 2112722, member: 4174"]
Lunardi has Rhode Island and Illinois St. as the only teams on the bubble left with a chance that are out. I think Illinois St. should definitely be out though.

Illinois State's best win was against Wichita State who they also lost to twice. After that their next best win is New Mexico and then they don't have any RPI top 125 wins besides those two. The only thing keeping them alive is that they are 20-1 in the RPI 150+. Take that out of the equation and they are 6-5 against the RPI top 150 with three of those six wins being against Southern Illinois (RPI 143). The MVC should be a one bid conference. Don't see Illinois State getting in, and I don't think they are a threat to Syracuse.

Rhode Island is definitely closer then Illinois St. If the committee had to choose right now, I'd think Kansas St. vs. Rhode Island could be the last decision and it'd really come down to how much they value overall record vs. top wins. I'd probably still give it to Kansas St. since they have 4 wins in the RPI top 50. Rhode Island may need to win their conference tourney to get in at this point, but if they fall just short they may still have a chance at an at-large bid.

If Lunardi is right in that these are the final two teams projected to be left out, I have to like our chances of getting in.
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