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Syracuse Athletics
Syracuse Men's Basketball Board
Manipulating the NET
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[QUOTE="Sbucketball, post: 4988676, member: 8555"] I've said this before, but maybe a weighted average scoring margin would be better than NET efficiency (which correlates strongly to margin of victory since it's just points scored per possession minus points let up per possession). Could break the game into 4 segments, with the first 10 minutes getting 1x weight, second 10 minutes getting 2x weight, third 10 minutes getting 3x weight, and final score getting 4x weight (or maybe just ignore the first 10 minutes and weight the final 3 segments or something, idk). That might better tell the story of a game than the current NET efficiency standard. A 12 point loss could just as easily have been a no-contest blowout as it could have been a tight game that came down to the final two minutes. The weighted system could tell the difference between a 12-point final that's a tight game where one team missed its shots the last few possession and the winning team hit free throws: 1st 10 mins: Ave difference 2 2nd 10 mins: ave difference 5 3rd 10 mins: ave difference -4 final score: 12 weighted average: ((2x1) + (5x2) + (-4x3) + (12x4)) / 10 units = 4.8 vs. a 12-point game blowout where maybe the losing team hit a couple late 3s v the walk-ons: 1st 10 mins: ave difference 8 2nd 10 mins: ave difference 14 3rd 10 mins: ave difference 22 final score: 12 weighted average: ((8x1) + (14x2) + (22x3) + (12x4)) / 10 units = 15 As I understand it, those two very different games -- one a blowout and one a tight game that slipped away at the end -- are treated the same under NET efficiency. [/QUOTE]
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Manipulating the NET
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