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[QUOTE="Orangezoo, post: 4992227, member: 237"]
Ok here is some correlation on MOV for us and some things to show if we had blown out more teams and stayed closer we might be in the 40s with the same record and same wins and losses-

Our total MOV is a net of zero because of the bad road losses and playing non cupcakes outside a couple teams plus you don’t count Chaminade in the formula.

VTs total net MOV is 134
Maryland is 142
UCF is 143
Oregon is 125
NCSU is 104
UW is 91
Xavier is 62

Wins and losses, road wins and beating the expected outcomes certainly must play their role as other variables but just looking at this- total MOV is playing a massive role here.

If road wins truly weighted heavily then VT should be much further down in the Net.

I put together a quick spreadsheet so happy to run the numbers on any other teams anyone is curious of

Lastly let’s look at Wake. They have a slightly better resume than us in terms of the wins they have but the same record in terms of the net. We have essentially the same road/neutral record. Their net MOV is 261- they are 27 in the net. Again it’s pretty clear how much weight is being carried by MOV and that’s the formula. Mix in as many garbage non conf with some good games and then conference play and hit 18-22 wins. This avoids bad losses, preserves MOV and you just have to win enough of the q1/q2 games to get over the hump. Wake by the way is 6-10 in q1/q2 games with 1 quad 1 win which is the win over Duke.
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