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[QUOTE="jncuse, post: 2512681, member: 1969"]
The following example will arguably  show a weakness in the matrix arguably.   But I think it also shows close the margins are, and when nobody else is accomplishing much you can really jump.

This was the matrix before the Duke game that I took from another thread.

[B]Out of 44  (Before Duke Game)[/B]
Alabama 42
Missouri 42
Florida 42
NC St 42
Kansas St 40
Providence 40
St. Mary's 39
St. Bonaventure 37
UCLA 32
Texas 31
Baylor 28
USC 27
----------
Syracuse 20
Washington 19
Louisville 11
Marquette 6
Miss St 6
Boise St 4
LSU 3
Maryland 2
Utah 2
Nebraska 2

Syracuse 45% - we then lost at Duke, vs UNC, at Boston College (we are now at 5%)

Louisville 25% - Won at Virginia Tech, lost at Virginia (now at 83%)

Overall, in a weak and a half span, Louisville beat Virginia Tech on the road, and that was it, and they shot way up.   As I said tight margins.

This is why I am saying we look way out of it, but 2 good wins could really shoot us up...  (No, Pitt is not that 2nd good win)
[/QUOTE]

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