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Message: [QUOTE="20Plus, post: 2515967"] "orangenirvana, post: 2514850, member: 156"]Current situation (just my own opinion, I can't trust all of the brackets out there)... You have some mistakes Locks: 25 Took out Butler 1Houston, Wichita State, , Cincinnati-3 2 Kentucky, Tennessee,Auburn,Florida-7 3West Virginia, Texas Tech,Kansas, Tcu-11 4Arizona,-12 5Virginia, Duke, Clemson, UNC-16 6Rhode Island,-17 7Xavier, Villanova- Creighton -20 8 Michigan State, Michigan,Ohio State,Purdue-24 9Gonzaga's-25 25Locks here not 26 that is 1 slots Extra Butler below added I count 9 of 32 autos Conferences 32-9= 23 23-auto 1 bid leagues 25 locks and multi bid conference 48 Automatic bids: 23. I estimate that 9 of the 32 conference tourney championships will be won by a locked team Which leaves 20 spots available. 68-48=20 [U] Ranking the Bubbles - Sagarin/KenPom/BPI = Average...Quadrant 1 record (Q2 wins, Q3 wins, Q4 wins) [/U] In [B]1. Virginia Tech - 35/31/29 = 31.7...6-7 (3,4,8) 2. Miami - 29/35/33 = 32.3...5-5 (3,7,7) 3. Texas A&M - 26/32/38 = 32.0...5-7 (8,3,4) 4. Seton Hall - 28/29/30 = 29.0...4-7 (3,6,7) ****5. Nevada - 36/20/26 = 27.3...2-2 (5,13,6)*** maybe counting this twice 6. Florida State - 39/37/37 = 37.7...6-6 (1,4,9) 7. Baylor - 22/34/34 = 30.0...4-10 (3,3,7) 8. Arkansas - 33/37/36 = 36.7...5-7 (4,6,6) 9. Louisville - 21/33/31 = 28.3...3-9 (1,8,7) 10. Notre Dame - 30/28/32 = 30.0...2-7 (4,4,7) 11. Oklahoma - 34/44/43 = 40.3...6-8 (3,3,6) 12. Saint Mary's - 32/23/22 = 25.7...1-1 (2,11,13) 13. Missouri - 43/42/50 = 45.0...5-7 (5,6,2) 14. Penn State - 40/30/28 = 32.7...3-7 (2,6,10*) 15. Texas - 37/40/42 = 39.7...5-10 (3,5,5) 16. Arizona State - 46/38/44 = 42.7...3-4 (4,8,5) 17. Kansas State - 44/43/47 = 44.7...3-7 (6,6,6)[/B] 18. ****Middle Tennessee - 50/44/43 = 45.7...3-3 (2,7,11)****** would be counted twice or assuming they Lose auto and still get a bid 19. NC State - 47/43/48 = 46.0...5-7 (3,4,8) 20. Marquette - 46/49/45 = 46.7...4-7 (4,3,7) Cut line I think two of these teams below are in from 21 to 29 if middle Tennessee either Wins conference or doesn’t get in (and) if Nevada takes care of business 21Butler 22Alabama - 53/53/54 = 53.3...5-6 (5,5,2) 23 USC - 38/46/49 = 44.3...3-6 (5,8,5*) 24. St. Bonaventure - 48/63/54 = 55.0...4-2 (3,7,9*) [B][COLOR=#ff8000]25. Syracuse - 52/51/50 = 51.0...3-7 (3,8,5)[/COLOR][/B] 26. UCLA - 45/50/56 = 50.3...2-6 (4,8,5) 27.Oklahoma State - 51/57/58 = 55.3...4-10 (4,1,8) 28. Providence - 51/71/72 = 64.7...4-8 (5,5,5***) 29.Washington - 92/97/115 = 101.3...3-5 (3,8,6) Done 30.LSU - 71/59/63 = 64.3...6-6 (3,2,6) 31. Maryland - 41/48/40 = 43.0...0-11 (2,7,9) 32. Loyola - 66/45/52 = 54.3...1-1 (3,14,7*) one bid 33Oregon - 48/65/65 = 59.3...2-5 (4,7,6) 34Boise State - 57/52/53 = 54.0 ...1-2 (4,5,11) 35. New Mexico State - 70/54/71 = 65.0...1-2 (2,7,11) 36. Mississippi State - 64/62/70 = 65.3...3-7 (3,6,8) 37. Nebraska - 60/56/64 = 60.0...1-7 (3,8,10) 38. Utah - 58/61/81 = 66.7...2-5 (5,6,5) 39. San Diego State - 55/60/60 = 58.3...1-3 (2,5,9*) 40. Davidson - 67/55/39 = 53.7...2-6 (0,6,10**) 41. South Carolina - 68/77/87 = 77.3...3-9 (2,6,4) 42. Louisiana - 72/70/51 = 64.3...0-1 (1,8,15) * 1 Q4 loss ** 2 Q4 losses *** 3 Q4 losses [/QUOTE]

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