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[QUOTE="Quazzum69, post: 1145352, member: 2653"]
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What is the rationale for the point cutoffs for the star rankings? Why are "five star" teams above 10,000 points and "four star" 6000-9999? The article gives no explanation of why the teams are grouped like that. Maybe they used some type of clustering method but they don't specify.

For all three years combined, the differences in winning percentage between stars are not even significantly different for a lot of these things.

For example, five star teams don't have statistically different winning percentages against 4 or 3 star teams (.663 with 96 games and .667 with 93 games). Four star teams do not have a statistically significant difference between 3 or 2 star teams (.64 with 111 games and .654 with 78 games). For 2 star v. 1 star: is .533 significantly different than random with only 75 games? I doubt it.

My theory is that talent only makes a difference when you have freak athletes. A team like Syracuse is never going to have the players that "five star" teams get. When you get to the level of FSU, Alabama, Auburn those athletes can make up for coaching deficiencies and make huge plays.

Unless you are at the very top or very bottom, talent level is less important than other factors (like coaching) to winning (so against teams like Maryland, Pitt, BC, Rutgers, etc.).
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