SWC75
Bored Historian
- Joined
- Aug 26, 2011
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SCORING (When we won the stat, it’s in bold. If tied, it’s in italics)
Two-pointers
November:
Average: 109/208 = 52.4% vs. 91/192 = 47.4% We were 3-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 78/125 = 62.4% vs. 40/102 = 39.2% In Losses: 31/83 = 37.3% vs. 51/90 = 56.7%
December:
Average: 89/171 = 52.0% vs. 83/179 = 46.4% We were 2-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 60/110 = 54.5% vs. 52/116 = 44.8% In Losses: 29/61 = 47.5% vs. 31/63 = 49.2%
January:
Average: 142/276 = 51.4% vs. 116/232 = 50.0% We were 4-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 93/177 = 52.5% vs. 72/154 = 46.8% In Losses: 49/99 = 49.5% vs. 44/78 = 56.4%
February:
Duke 21/44 = 47.7% vs. 25/37 = 67.6%
Wake Forest 15/35 = 42.9% vs. 17/34 = 50.0%
NC State 22/46 = 47.8% vs. 14/23 = 60.9%
Florida State 21/38 = 55.2% vs. 17/40 = 42.5%
Louisville 16/34 = 47.1% vs. 20/40 = 50.0%
Georgia Tech 18/37 = 48.6% vs. 18/37 = 48.6%
Pittsburgh II 18/34 = 52.9% vs. 10/29 = 34.5%
North Carolina 22/39 = 56.4% vs. 22/38 = 57.9%
Average: 153/307 = 49.8% vs. 143/278 = 51.4% We were 1-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 51/106 = 48.1% vs. 45/100 = 45.0% In Losses: 102/201 = 50.7% vs. 98/178 = 55.1%
Comment: Two point field goal percentages have historically been the best predictor of victory. How did we lose that Florida State game?
Three-pointers
November:
Average: 59/178 = 33.1% vs. 53/198 = 26.8% We were 4-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 40/96 = 41.7% vs. 30/117 = 25.6% In Losses: 19/82 = 23.2% vs. 23/81 = 28.4%
December:
Average: 64/171 = 37.4% vs. 57/173 = 32.9% We were 4-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 44/118 = 37.3% vs. 35/114 = 30.7% In Losses: 20/53 = 37.7% vs. 22/59 = 37.3%
January:
Average: 68/194 = 35.1% vs. 80/250 = 32.0% We were 2-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 39/119 = 32.8% vs. 46/155 = 29.7% In Losses: 29/75 = 38.7% vs. 34/95 = 35.8%
February:
Duke 6/26 = 23.1% vs. 6/17 = 35.3%
Wake Forest 7/21 = 33.3% vs. 6/27 = 22.2%
NC State 3/18 = 16.7% vs. 11/25 = 44.0%
Florida State 7/25 = 28.0% vs. 11/25 = 44.0%
Louisville 7/26 = 26.9% vs. 10/24 = 41.7%
Georgia Tech 5/14 = 35.7% vs. 6/15 = 40.0%
Pittsburgh II 8/22 = 36.4% vs. 6/26 = 23.1%
North Carolina 6/24 = 25.0% vs. 11/26 = 42.3%
Average: 49/176 = 27.8% vs. 67/185 = 32.0% We were 2-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 20/57 = 35.1% vs. 18/68 = 26.5% In Losses: 29/118 = 24.6% vs. 49/117 = 41.9%
Comments but this year, nothing is more stark than the difference between three point percentages in our wins and losses.
Free-Throws
November:
Average: 103/155 = 66.5% vs. 98/128 = 76.6% We were 1-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 52/77 = 67.5% vs. 50/63 = 79.4% In Losses: 51/78 = 65.4% vs. 48/65 = 73.8%
December:
Average: 87/114 = 76.3% vs. 72/102 = 70.6% We were 1-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 72/90 = 80.0% vs. 43/63 = 68.3% In Losses: 15/24 = 62.5% vs. 29/39 = 74.4%
January:
Average: 95/122 = 77.9% vs. 71/105 = 67.6% We were 4-2 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 60/77 = 77.9% vs. 35/57 = 61.4% In Losses: 35/45 = 77.8% vs. 36/48 = 75.0%
February:
Duke 28/37 = 75.7% vs. 29/33 = 87.9%
Wake Forest 24/30 = 80.0% vs. 21/27 = 77.8%
NC State 21/27 = 77.8% vs. 18/28 = 64.3%
Florida State 14/18 = 77.8% vs. 13/17 = 76.5%
Louisville 13/18 = 72.2% vs. 20/29 = 69.0%
Georgia Tech 28/36 = 77.8% vs. 18/26 = 69.2%
Pittsburgh II 12/19 = 63.2% vs. 11/14 = 78.6%
North Carolina 17/19 = 89.5% vs. 15/17 = 88.2%
Average: 157/204 = 77.0% vs. 145/191 = 75.9% We were 2-4 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 64/85 = 75.3% vs. 50/67 = 74.6% In Losses: 93/119 = 78.2% vs. 95/124= 76.6%
Comment: We are an excellent free throw shooting team but haven’t been able to make it matter. The other teams are pretty good too. I’m still waiting for that scenario where we are ahead in the final minute by 3-4 points and the other team has to start fouling to get the ball back.
Combined Percentages
(2 point field goal percentage + three point field goal percentage + free throw percentage, each taken out to three places and the decimal points removed)
November:
Totals: 10,558 vs. 10,549 = +9 We were 4-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 6,935 vs. 5,798 = +1,137 In Losses: 3,623 vs. 4,751 = -1,128
December:
Totals: 9,784 vs. 8,998 = +786 We were 3-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 6,885 vs. 5,835 = +1,050 In Losses: 2,899 vs. 3,163 = -264
January:
Totals: 13,152 vs. 11,943 = +1,209 We were 5-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 8,180 vs. 6,719 = +1,461 In Losses: 4,972 vs. 5,244 = -272
February:
Duke 1465 (477 + 231 + 757) vs. 1908 (676 + 353 + 879) = -443
Wake Forest 1562 (429 + 333 + 800) vs. 1500 (500 + 222 + 778) = +62
NC State 1423 (478 + 167 + 778) vs. 1692 (609 + 440 + 643) = -269
Florida State 1610 (552 + 280 + 778) vs. 1630 (425 + 440 + 765) = -20
Louisville 1462 (471 + 269 + 722) vs. 1607 (500 + 417 + 690) = -145
Georgia Tech 1621 (486 + 357 + 778) vs. 1578 (486 + 400 + 692) = +43
Pittsburgh II 1525 (529 + 364 + 632) vs. 1362 (345 + 231 + 786) = +163
North Carolina 1709 (564 + 250 + 895) vs. 1884 (579 + 423 + 882) = -175
Totals: 12,377 vs. 13,161 = -784 We were 3-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 4,708 vs. 4,440 = -268 In Losses: 7,669 vs. 8,721 = --4,013
Comment: Getting points for putting the ball in the basket was Dr. Naismith’s first and best idea.
(PIP= points in the paint, POP = points outside the paint, which is total points – PIP –free throws made, TREY: points from three point shots, TZ= Twilight Zone, which is POP – TREY, two point jumpers from outside the paint, FBP = fast break points POTO= points off takeovers)
PIP “The Inner Sanctum”
November:
Totals: 184-156 We were 4-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 132- 68 In Losses: 52-88
December:
Totals: 150-144 We were 2-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 98-98 In Losses: 52-46
January:
Totals: 238-176 We were 4-2 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 154-104 In Losses: 84-72
February:
Duke 38-44
Wake Forest 24-22
NC State 40-26
Florida State 40-24
Louisville 24-30
Georgia Tech 34-34
Pittsburgh II 32-18
North Carolina 32-38
Totals: 267-236 We were 2-2 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 90-74 In Losses: 177-162
Comment: With all the drives, we have more inside scoring that you’d think. They just do’t come on post-up moves.
POP
November:
Totals: 211-183 We were 3-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 144-102 In Losses: 67-81
December:
Totals: 220-193 We were 3-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 154-111 In Losses: 66-82
January:
Totals: 249-296 We were 1-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 148-178 In Losses: 101-118
February:
Duke 22-24
Wake Forest 27-30
NC State 13-35
Florida State 23-43
Louisville 29-40
Georgia Tech 28-26
Pittsburgh II 28-20
North Carolina 24-45
Totals: 194-263 We were 2-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 83-76 In Losses: 111-187
Comment: We are a different team when the outside shots are falling.
Trey “The Outer Limits”
November:
Totals:177-159 We were 3-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 120-90 In Losses: 57-69
December:
Totals:192-171 We were 3-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 132-105 In Losses: 60-66
January:
Totals: 204-240 We were 2-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 117-138 In Losses: 87-102
February:
Duke 18-18
Wake Forest 21-18
NC State 9-33
Florida State 21-33
Louisville 21-30
Georgia Tech 15-18
Pittsburgh II 24-18
North Carolina 18-33
Totals: 147-201 We were 2-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 60-54 In Losses: 87-147
Comments: This was supposed to be the strength of the team.
“The Twilight Zone” – between the paint and the three point line
November:
Totals: 28-24 We were 3-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 24-12 In Losses: 4-12
December:
Totals: 28-22 We were 3-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 22-6 In Losses: 6-16
January:
Totals: 45-56 We were 1-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 31-40 In Losses: 14-16
February:
Duke 4-6
Wake Forest 6-12
NC State 4-2
Florida State 2-10
Louisville 8-10
Georgia Tech 2-2
Pittsburgh II 4-2
North Carolina 6-12
Totals: 36-56 We were 1-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 12-16 In Losses: 24-40
Comment: Marek could turn this stat around next eyar. Quincy could help, too, with pull-up shots.
POTO
(Point s off takeovers)
November:
Totals: 130-93 We were 3-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 89-56 In Losses: 41-37
December:
Totals: 88-72 We were 3-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 65-48 In Losses: 23-24
January:
Totals: 89-101 We were 2-2 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 57-62 In Losses: 32-39
February:
Duke 22-13
Wake Forest 19-20
NC State 12-23
Florida State 18-11
Louisville 8-8
Georgia Tech 15-10
Pittsburgh II 16-13
North Carolina 6-15
Totals: 116-113 We were 2-2 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 50-43 In Losses: 66-70
Comment: Takeovers are a significant part of our game and thus points off takeovers are, too
FBP
November:
Totals: 102-80 We were 4-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 70-24 In Losses: 32-56
December:
Totals: 69-51 We were 4-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 57-35 In Losses: 12-16
January:
Totals: 88-59 We were 4-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 69-35 In Losses: 19-24
February:
Duke 25-22
Wake Forest 11-21
NC State 13-21
Florida State 6-6
Louisville 3-2
Georgia Tech 21-9
Pittsburgh II 16-9
North Carolina 10-11
Totals: 105-101 We were 2-2 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 48-39 In Losses: 57-62
Comment: We are a better team when we can beat the other team down court. Again, Marek is a help here.
Fast Break Percentage
(FBP/(defensive rebounds + blocks + steals)
November:
Average: 103/242 = 42.6% vs. 80/193 = 41.5% We were 4-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 70/172 = 40.7% vs. 24/106 = 22.6% In Losses: 33/70 = 47.1% vs. 56/87 = 64.4%
December:
Average: 69/231 = 29.9% vs. 51/195 = 26.2% We were 4-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 57/169 = 33.7% vs. 35/125 = 28.0% In Losses: 12/62 = 19.4% vs. 16/70 = 22.9%
January:
Average: 88/299 = 29.4% vs. 59/264 = 22.3% We were 4-2 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 69/203 = 34.0% vs. 35/164 = 21.3% In Losses: 19/96 = 19.8% vs. 24/100 = 24.0%
February:
Duke 25/26 = 96.2% vs. 22/40 = 55.0%
Wake Forest 11/41 = 26.8% vs. 21/37 = 56.8%
NC State 13/36 = 36.1% vs. 21/40 = 52.5%
Florida State 6/31 = 19.4% vs. 6/37 = 16.2%
Louisville 3/38 = 7.9% vs. 2/41 = 4.9%
Georgia Tech 21/35 = 63.1% vs. 9/28 = 32.1%
Pittsburgh II 16/45 = 38.6% vs. 9/34 = 26.5%
North Carolina 10/30 = 33.3% vs. 11/36 = 30.5%
Average: 105/282 = 37.2% vs. 101/293 = 34.5% We were 2-4 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 48/121 = 39.7% vs. 39/99 = 39.4% In Losses: 57/161 = 35.4% vs. 62/194 = 32.0%
Comment: We ran more in our wins but outran the other teams by more in losses.
First Chance/Second Chance
(FCP is First Chance Points, which is total points - second chance points – fast break points – free throws made. SCP is second chance points.)
FCP
November:
Totals:225-185 We were 3-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 160-111 In Losses: 65-74
December:
Totals:235-205 We were 3-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 142-124 In Losses: 93-81
January:
Totals: 318-330 We were 1-2 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 188-205 In Losses: 130-125
February:
Duke 12-38
Wake Forest 27-13
NC State 29-11
Florida State 44-49
Louisville 42-55
Georgia Tech 26-42
Pittsburgh II 32-19
North Carolina 42-44
Totals: 254-271 We were 2-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 85-74 In Losses: 169-197
Comment: How did we ever stay in that Duke game as long as we did?
SCP
November:
Average: 55-74 We were 2-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 34-35 In Losses: 21-39
December:
Average: 66-78 We were 2-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 53-47 In Losses: 13-31
January:
Average: 78-79 We were 2-2 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 42-42 In Losses: 36-37
February:
Duke 23-18
Wake Forest 13-18
NC State 11-10
Florida State 13-12
Louisville 8-13
Georgia Tech 4-3
Pittsburgh II 12-10
North Carolina 10-22
Average: 94-106 We were 2-3 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 29-31 In Losses: 65-75
Comment: Except for North Carolina, there hasn’t bene a big difference in this stat and so it hasn’t had much of an impact.
Starter Scoring
November:
Totals: 385-314 We were 4-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 244-149 In Losses: 141-165
December:
Totals: 406-325 We were 4-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 286-189 In Losses: 120-136
January:
Totals: 514-403 We were 5-2 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 322-223 In Losses: 192-180
February:
Duke 81-70
Wake Forest 59-44
NC State 55-58
Florida State 64-39
Louisville 42-63
Georgia Tech 74-65
Pittsburgh II 60-23
North Carolina 73-68
Totals: 508-430 We were 3-3 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 193-132 In Losses: 315-298
Comment: we should win this stat as we use our starting line-up more than most of our opponents.
Bench Scoring
November:
Totals: 155-110 We were 3-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 99-56 In Losses:56-54
December:
Totals: 51-80 We were 2-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 38-63 In Losses:13-17
January:
Totals: 74-140 We were 0-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 41-94 In Losses: 33-46
February:
Duke 7-27
Wake Forest 16-29
NC State 19-21
Florida State 13-41
Louisville 24-27
Georgia Tech 5-7
Pittsburgh II 12-26
North Carolina 6-24
Totals: 102-202 We were 0-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 33-62 In Losses: 69-140
Comment: And we usually lose this stat for the same reason.
Assist Percentage:
(Assists divided by made field goals)
November:
Average: 116/168 = 69.0% vs. 98/144 = 68.1% We were 2-2 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 81/118 = 68.6% vs. 49/70 = 70.0% In Losses: 35/50 = 70.0% 49/74 = 66.2%
December:
Average: 111/153 = 72.5% vs.106/140 = 75.7% We were 3-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 80/114 = 70.2% vs. 69/87 = 79.3% In Losses: 31/49 = 63.3% 37/53 = 69.8%
January:
Average: 93/199 = 46.7% vs.150/215 = 69.8% We were 2-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 63/121 = 52.0% vs. 87/137 = 63.5% In Losses: 30/78 = 38.5% 63/78 = 80.8%
February:
Duke 13/27 = 48.1% vs. 19/31 = 61.3%
Wake Forest 11/22 = 50.0% vs. 15/23 = 65.2%
NC State 7/25 = 28.0% vs. 16/25 = 64.0%
Florida State 11/28 = 39.3% vs. 17/28 = 60.7%
Louisville 11/23 = 39.3% vs. 17/28 = 60.7%
Georgia Tech 12/23 = 52.2% vs. 18/24 = 75.0%
Pittsburgh II 16/26 = 61.5% vs. 10/16 = 62.5%
North Carolina 14/28 = 50.0% vs. 25/33 = 75.8%
Average: 95/202 = 47.0% vs.137/208 = 65.9% We were 2-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 39/71 = 54.9% vs. 43/63 = 68.3% In Losses: 56/131 = 42.7% 94/145 = 64.8%
Comment: Once we went to the driving game, we were going to lose this stat consistently, as well.
Team Offensive Possession Efficiency
(Possessions: Field goals attempted - offensive rebounds + turnovers + 47.5% of free throws attempted. Efficiency is total points divided by possessions)
November:
Average: 498/477 = 1.044 vs. 444/477 = 0.931 We were 4-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 328/266 = 1.233 vs. 225/267 = 0.843 In Losses: 170/211 = 0.806 vs. 219/210 = 1.043
December:
Average: 457/405 = 1.128 vs. 409/407 = 1.005 We were 4-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 324/268 = 1.209 vs. 252/269 = 0.937 In Losses: 133/137 = 0.971 vs. 157/138 = 1.138
January:
Average: 583/531 = 1.098 vs. 543/531 = 1.023 We were 5-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 363/338 = 1.074 vs. 317/336 = 0.943 In Losses: 220/193 = 1.140 vs. 226/195 = 1.159
February:
Duke 88/77 = 1.257 vs. 91/77 = 1.423 154 possessions
Wake Forest 75/72 = 1.042 vs. 73/73 = 1.000 145 possessions
NC State 74/77 = 0.961 vs. 79/76 = 1.039 153 possessions
Florida State 77/72 = 1.069 vs. 80/71 = 1.127 143 possessions
Louisville 66/74 = 0.891 vs. 90/75 = 1.200 149 possessions
Georgia Tech 79/73 = 1.082 vs. 72/73 = 0.986 146 possessions
Pittsburgh II 72/70 = 1.029 vs. 49/70 = 0.700 146 possessions
North Carolina 79/71 = 1.113 vs. 92/70 = 1.314 141 possessions
Average: 610/586 = 1.040 vs. 626/585 = 1.070 We were 3-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 226/215 = 1.051 vs. 194/216 = 0.898 In Losses: 384/371 = 1.140 vs. 432/369 = 1.171
Comment: This is an uninteresting stat for individual games as it parallels the result ton the scoreboard. But over a series of games it can take on meaning. We actually score better in the losses but our defense is much worse when we lose.
Adjusted Possession Efficiency
(Using just FGA + (.475 x FTA) to treat offensive rebounds as extra possessions and turnovers as lost possessions.)
November:
Average: 498/454 = 1.097 vs. 444/457 = 0.972 We were 4-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 328/258 = 1.271 vs. 225/249 = 0.904 In Losses: 170/196 = 0.867 vs. 219/208= 1.053
December:
Average: 457/387 = 1.181 vs. 409/401 = 1.020 We were 3-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 324/262 = 1.237 vs. 252/260 = 0.969 In Losses: 133/125 = 1.064 vs. 157/141= 1.113
January:
Average: 583/528 = 1.104 vs. 543/534 = 1.017 We were 3-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 363/333 = 1.090 vs. 317/338 = 0.938 In Losses: 220-195 = 1.128 vs. 226/196= 1.153
February:
Duke 88/88 = 1.000 vs. 91/70 = 1.386
Wake Forest 75/70 = 1.071 vs. 73/74 = 0.986
NC State 74/77 = 0.961 vs. 79/61 = 1.295
Florida State 77/72 = 1.069 vs. 80/73 = 1.096
Louisville 66/69 = 0.957 vs. 90/73 = 1.154
Georgia Tech 79/68 = 1.162 vs. 72/64 = 1.125
Pittsburgh II 72/65 = 1.108 vs. 49/62 = 0.790
North Carolina 79/72 = 1.097 vs. 92/72 = 1.278
Average: 610/581 = 1.104 vs. 626/549 = 1.017 We were 3-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 226/203 = 1.113 vs. 194/200 = 0.970 In Losses: 384/378 = 1.016 vs. 432/349= 1.238
Comment: Since this stat treats offensive rebounds and turnovers as additional possessions. But the difference was not so great as to produce a different result.
Team Shooting Efficiency
(Points minus missed field goals and free throws)
November:
Totals: 498-218-51 = 229 vs. 439-230-36 = 173 We were 4-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 328-103-25 = 200 vs. 220-133-13 = 74 In Losses: 170-115-26 = 29 vs. 219-97-23= 99
December:
Totals: 457-189-27 = 241 vs. 409-212-47 = 150 We were 4-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 324-124-18 = 180 vs. 252-143-20 = 89 In Losses: 133-65-9 = 61 vs. 157-69-27= 61
January:
Totals: 583-260-27 = 296 vs. 543-286-34 = 223 We were 5-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 363-164-17 = 182 vs. 317-191-22 = 104 In Losses: 220-96-10 = 114 vs. 226-95-12= 119
February:
Duke 88 – 43 – 9 = +36 vs. 91 – 23 – 4 = +64
Wake Forest 75 – 34 – 6 = +35 vs. 73 – 38 – 6 = +29
NC State 74 – 39 – 6 = +29 vs. 79 – 23 – 10 = +46
Florida State 77 – 35 – 4 = +38 vs. 80 – 37 – 4 = +39
Louisville 66 – 37 – 5 = +24 vs. 90 – 34 – 9 = +47
Georgia Tech 79 – 28 – 8 = +43 vs. 72 – 28 – 8 = +36
Pittsburgh II 72 – 30 – 7 = +35 vs. 49 – 39 – 3 = +7
North Carolina 79 – 35 – 2 = +42 vs. 92 – 31 – 2 = +59
Totals: 610-281-47 = 282 vs. 626-253-46= 327 We were 3-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 226-92-21 = 113 vs. 194-105-17 = 72 In Losses: 384-189-68 = 169 vs. 432-148-29= 255
Comment: This, too parallels the game result.
(Points scored divided by potential points scored if every shot was good)
November:
Average: 498/1104 = 45.1% vs. 439/1106 = 39.7% We were 4-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 328/615 = 53.3% vs. 220/618 = 35.6% In Losses: 170/489 = 34.8% vs. 219/488 = 44.9%
December:
Average: 457/969 = 47.2% vs. 409/979 = 41.8% We were 3-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 324/664 = 48.8% vs. 252/637 = 39.6% In Losses: 133/305 = 43.6% vs. 157/342 = 45.9%
January:
Average: 583/1256 = 46.4% vs. 543/1333 = 40.7% We were 5-2 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 363/788 = 46.1% vs. 317/830 = 38.2% In Losses: 220/468 = 47.0% vs. 226/503 = 44.9%
February:
Duke 88/203 = 43.3% vs. 97/206 = 47.1%
Wake Forest 75/163 = 46.0% vs. 73/142 = 51.4%
NC State 74/173 = 42.8% vs. 79/149 = 53.0%
Florida State 77/169 = 45.6% vs. 80/172 = 46.5%
Louisville 66/164 = 40.2% vs. 90/172 = 52.3%
Georgia Tech 79/152 = 52.0% vs. 72/145 = 49.7%
Pittsburgh II 73/153 = 47.1% vs. 49/150 = 32.7%
North Carolina 79/169 = 46.7% vs. 92/171 = 53.8%
Average: 610/1346 = 45.3% vs. 626/1307 = 47.9% We were 2-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 226/468 = 48.3% vs. 194/437 = 44.4% In Losses: 384/878 = 43.7% vs. 432/870 = 49.7%
Comment: Shooting has been a struggle since we started the conference season.
Breakdown by Quarters
(Points scored between the beginning of the game and the 10 minute mark of the first half, then halftime, then the 10 minute mark of the second half, the end of regulation and then overtime if there was one)
November:
Average: 122-99 (17-14), 102-105 (15-15), 141-107 (20-15) 133-128 (19-18)
We’ve won 17 ‘quarters’ and lost 11. We’ve scored at least 15 points in 22 of 28 quarters.
December:
Average: 121-90 (20-15), 111-112 (18.5-19), 105-103 (17.5-17), 120-104 (20-17)
We’ve won 16 ‘quarters’ and lost 7 with one even. We’ve scored at least 15 points in 21 of 24 quarters.
January:
Average: 117-119 (15-15), 167-100 (21-12.5), 127-152 (16-19), 152-160 (19-20) OT: 20-8
We’ve won 16 ‘quarters’ and one overtime and lost 12 with 4 even. We’ve scored at least 15 points in 22 of 32 quarters.
February:
Duke 19-14, 17-26, 19-27, 33-30
Wake Forest 18-8, 20-22, 24-23, 13-20
NC State 11-17, 24-22, 25-17, 14-23
Florida State 19-22, 14-19, 18-16, 26-23
Louisville 17-22, 17-19, 10-26, 22-23
Georgia Tech 10-20, 17-18, 22-13, 30-21
Pittsburgh II 15-11, 22-10, 25-16, 10-12
North Carolina 17-19, 18-21, 21-28, 23-24
Average: 126-133 (16-17), 149-157 (19-20), 164-166 (20.5-21), 171-176 (21-22)
We’ve won 13 ‘quarters’ and one overtime and lost 19. We’ve scored at least 15 points in just 7 of 32 quarters.
Comment: We lost 6 straight quarters, then won 5 straight and them lost 5 more straight.
FOULS
Two point shots / Foul (lower means the calls favored us)
November:
Average: 208/118 = 1.76 vs. 185/102 = 1.81 We were 1-2 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 125/66= 1.89 vs. 107/55 = 1.95 In Losses: 83/52 = 1.60 vs. 78/47 = 1.66
December:
Average: 171/102 = 1.68 vs. 169/98 = 1.72 We were 1-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 110/73= 1.51 vs. 106/62 = 1.71 In Losses: 61/29 = 2.10 vs. 63/36 = 1.75
Average: 276/122 = 2.26 vs. 232/113 = 2.05 We were 2-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 177/80= 2.21 vs. 154/71 = 2.17 In Losses: 99/42 = 2.36 vs. 78/42 = 1.86
February:
Duke 44/29 = 1.52 vs. 37/25 = 1.48
Wake Forest 35/23 = 1.52 vs. 34/20 = 1.20
NC State 46/19 = 2.42 vs. 27/19 = 1.42
Florida State 38/22 = 1.73 vs. 40/20 = 2.00
Louisville 34/16 = 2.125 vs. 40/19 = 2.11
Georgia Tech 37/26 = 1.42 vs. 37/20 = 1.85
Pittsburgh II 34/17 = 2.00 vs. 29/13 = 2.23
North Carolina 39/19 = 2.05 vs. 38/19 = 2.11
Average: 307/171 = 1.80 vs. 282/155 = 1.82 We were 2-2 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 106/66 = 1.61 vs. 100/53 = 1.89 In Losses: 201/105 = 1.91 vs. 182/102 = 1.78
Comments: It helps to get a kind whistle form the refs. What is interesting is that they are blowing it more than they did in January.
Free Throws / Foul (Higher means calls were more likely to put us on the line)
November:
Average: 154/118 = 1.31 vs. 122/102 = 1.20 We were 3-2 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 103/66 = 1.56 vs. 54/55 = 0.98 In Losses: 51/52 = 0.98 vs. 68/47 = 1.45
December:
Average: 124/101 = 1.23 vs. 102/97 = 1.05 We were 3-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 100/72 = 1.39 vs. 63/61 = 1.03 In Losses: 24/29 = 0.83 vs. 39/36 = 1.08
January:
Average: 122/122 = 1.00 vs. 105/113 = 0.93 We were 4-2 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 77/80 = 0.96 vs. 57/71 = 0.80 In Losses: 45/42 = 1.07 vs. 48/42 = 1.14
February:
Duke 37/29 = 1.28 vs. 33/25 = 1.32
Wake Forest 34/20 = 1.20 vs. 27/20 = 1.35
NC State 27/19 = 1.42 vs. 23/21 = 1.33
Florida State 18/22 = 0.82 vs. 17/20 = 0.85
Louisville 18/16 = 1.125 vs. 29/19 = 1.53
Georgia Tech 36/26 = 1.38 vs. 26/20 = 1.36
Pittsburgh II 19/17 = 1.12 vs. 14/13 = 1.08
North Carolina 19/19 = 1.000 vs. 17/19 = 0.94
Average: 208/171 = 1.22 vs. 186/155 = 1.20 We were 2-2 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 89/63 = 1.41 vs. 67/53 =1.26 In Losses: 119/108 = 1.10 vs. 119/102 = 1.17
Comment: There’s not much difference between how often the refs call a foul a shooting foul as opposed to a common foul, even if they make a strange decision about that from time to time.
Two-pointers
November:
Average: 109/208 = 52.4% vs. 91/192 = 47.4% We were 3-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 78/125 = 62.4% vs. 40/102 = 39.2% In Losses: 31/83 = 37.3% vs. 51/90 = 56.7%
December:
Average: 89/171 = 52.0% vs. 83/179 = 46.4% We were 2-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 60/110 = 54.5% vs. 52/116 = 44.8% In Losses: 29/61 = 47.5% vs. 31/63 = 49.2%
January:
Average: 142/276 = 51.4% vs. 116/232 = 50.0% We were 4-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 93/177 = 52.5% vs. 72/154 = 46.8% In Losses: 49/99 = 49.5% vs. 44/78 = 56.4%
February:
Duke 21/44 = 47.7% vs. 25/37 = 67.6%
Wake Forest 15/35 = 42.9% vs. 17/34 = 50.0%
NC State 22/46 = 47.8% vs. 14/23 = 60.9%
Florida State 21/38 = 55.2% vs. 17/40 = 42.5%
Louisville 16/34 = 47.1% vs. 20/40 = 50.0%
Georgia Tech 18/37 = 48.6% vs. 18/37 = 48.6%
Pittsburgh II 18/34 = 52.9% vs. 10/29 = 34.5%
North Carolina 22/39 = 56.4% vs. 22/38 = 57.9%
Average: 153/307 = 49.8% vs. 143/278 = 51.4% We were 1-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 51/106 = 48.1% vs. 45/100 = 45.0% In Losses: 102/201 = 50.7% vs. 98/178 = 55.1%
Comment: Two point field goal percentages have historically been the best predictor of victory. How did we lose that Florida State game?
Three-pointers
November:
Average: 59/178 = 33.1% vs. 53/198 = 26.8% We were 4-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 40/96 = 41.7% vs. 30/117 = 25.6% In Losses: 19/82 = 23.2% vs. 23/81 = 28.4%
December:
Average: 64/171 = 37.4% vs. 57/173 = 32.9% We were 4-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 44/118 = 37.3% vs. 35/114 = 30.7% In Losses: 20/53 = 37.7% vs. 22/59 = 37.3%
January:
Average: 68/194 = 35.1% vs. 80/250 = 32.0% We were 2-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 39/119 = 32.8% vs. 46/155 = 29.7% In Losses: 29/75 = 38.7% vs. 34/95 = 35.8%
February:
Duke 6/26 = 23.1% vs. 6/17 = 35.3%
Wake Forest 7/21 = 33.3% vs. 6/27 = 22.2%
NC State 3/18 = 16.7% vs. 11/25 = 44.0%
Florida State 7/25 = 28.0% vs. 11/25 = 44.0%
Louisville 7/26 = 26.9% vs. 10/24 = 41.7%
Georgia Tech 5/14 = 35.7% vs. 6/15 = 40.0%
Pittsburgh II 8/22 = 36.4% vs. 6/26 = 23.1%
North Carolina 6/24 = 25.0% vs. 11/26 = 42.3%
Average: 49/176 = 27.8% vs. 67/185 = 32.0% We were 2-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 20/57 = 35.1% vs. 18/68 = 26.5% In Losses: 29/118 = 24.6% vs. 49/117 = 41.9%
Comments but this year, nothing is more stark than the difference between three point percentages in our wins and losses.
Free-Throws
November:
Average: 103/155 = 66.5% vs. 98/128 = 76.6% We were 1-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 52/77 = 67.5% vs. 50/63 = 79.4% In Losses: 51/78 = 65.4% vs. 48/65 = 73.8%
December:
Average: 87/114 = 76.3% vs. 72/102 = 70.6% We were 1-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 72/90 = 80.0% vs. 43/63 = 68.3% In Losses: 15/24 = 62.5% vs. 29/39 = 74.4%
January:
Average: 95/122 = 77.9% vs. 71/105 = 67.6% We were 4-2 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 60/77 = 77.9% vs. 35/57 = 61.4% In Losses: 35/45 = 77.8% vs. 36/48 = 75.0%
February:
Duke 28/37 = 75.7% vs. 29/33 = 87.9%
Wake Forest 24/30 = 80.0% vs. 21/27 = 77.8%
NC State 21/27 = 77.8% vs. 18/28 = 64.3%
Florida State 14/18 = 77.8% vs. 13/17 = 76.5%
Louisville 13/18 = 72.2% vs. 20/29 = 69.0%
Georgia Tech 28/36 = 77.8% vs. 18/26 = 69.2%
Pittsburgh II 12/19 = 63.2% vs. 11/14 = 78.6%
North Carolina 17/19 = 89.5% vs. 15/17 = 88.2%
Average: 157/204 = 77.0% vs. 145/191 = 75.9% We were 2-4 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 64/85 = 75.3% vs. 50/67 = 74.6% In Losses: 93/119 = 78.2% vs. 95/124= 76.6%
Comment: We are an excellent free throw shooting team but haven’t been able to make it matter. The other teams are pretty good too. I’m still waiting for that scenario where we are ahead in the final minute by 3-4 points and the other team has to start fouling to get the ball back.
Combined Percentages
(2 point field goal percentage + three point field goal percentage + free throw percentage, each taken out to three places and the decimal points removed)
November:
Totals: 10,558 vs. 10,549 = +9 We were 4-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 6,935 vs. 5,798 = +1,137 In Losses: 3,623 vs. 4,751 = -1,128
December:
Totals: 9,784 vs. 8,998 = +786 We were 3-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 6,885 vs. 5,835 = +1,050 In Losses: 2,899 vs. 3,163 = -264
January:
Totals: 13,152 vs. 11,943 = +1,209 We were 5-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 8,180 vs. 6,719 = +1,461 In Losses: 4,972 vs. 5,244 = -272
February:
Duke 1465 (477 + 231 + 757) vs. 1908 (676 + 353 + 879) = -443
Wake Forest 1562 (429 + 333 + 800) vs. 1500 (500 + 222 + 778) = +62
NC State 1423 (478 + 167 + 778) vs. 1692 (609 + 440 + 643) = -269
Florida State 1610 (552 + 280 + 778) vs. 1630 (425 + 440 + 765) = -20
Louisville 1462 (471 + 269 + 722) vs. 1607 (500 + 417 + 690) = -145
Georgia Tech 1621 (486 + 357 + 778) vs. 1578 (486 + 400 + 692) = +43
Pittsburgh II 1525 (529 + 364 + 632) vs. 1362 (345 + 231 + 786) = +163
North Carolina 1709 (564 + 250 + 895) vs. 1884 (579 + 423 + 882) = -175
Totals: 12,377 vs. 13,161 = -784 We were 3-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 4,708 vs. 4,440 = -268 In Losses: 7,669 vs. 8,721 = --4,013
Comment: Getting points for putting the ball in the basket was Dr. Naismith’s first and best idea.
(PIP= points in the paint, POP = points outside the paint, which is total points – PIP –free throws made, TREY: points from three point shots, TZ= Twilight Zone, which is POP – TREY, two point jumpers from outside the paint, FBP = fast break points POTO= points off takeovers)
PIP “The Inner Sanctum”
November:
Totals: 184-156 We were 4-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 132- 68 In Losses: 52-88
December:
Totals: 150-144 We were 2-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 98-98 In Losses: 52-46
January:
Totals: 238-176 We were 4-2 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 154-104 In Losses: 84-72
February:
Duke 38-44
Wake Forest 24-22
NC State 40-26
Florida State 40-24
Louisville 24-30
Georgia Tech 34-34
Pittsburgh II 32-18
North Carolina 32-38
Totals: 267-236 We were 2-2 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 90-74 In Losses: 177-162
Comment: With all the drives, we have more inside scoring that you’d think. They just do’t come on post-up moves.
POP
November:
Totals: 211-183 We were 3-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 144-102 In Losses: 67-81
December:
Totals: 220-193 We were 3-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 154-111 In Losses: 66-82
January:
Totals: 249-296 We were 1-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 148-178 In Losses: 101-118
February:
Duke 22-24
Wake Forest 27-30
NC State 13-35
Florida State 23-43
Louisville 29-40
Georgia Tech 28-26
Pittsburgh II 28-20
North Carolina 24-45
Totals: 194-263 We were 2-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 83-76 In Losses: 111-187
Comment: We are a different team when the outside shots are falling.
Trey “The Outer Limits”
November:
Totals:177-159 We were 3-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 120-90 In Losses: 57-69
December:
Totals:192-171 We were 3-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 132-105 In Losses: 60-66
January:
Totals: 204-240 We were 2-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 117-138 In Losses: 87-102
February:
Duke 18-18
Wake Forest 21-18
NC State 9-33
Florida State 21-33
Louisville 21-30
Georgia Tech 15-18
Pittsburgh II 24-18
North Carolina 18-33
Totals: 147-201 We were 2-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 60-54 In Losses: 87-147
Comments: This was supposed to be the strength of the team.
“The Twilight Zone” – between the paint and the three point line
November:
Totals: 28-24 We were 3-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 24-12 In Losses: 4-12
December:
Totals: 28-22 We were 3-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 22-6 In Losses: 6-16
January:
Totals: 45-56 We were 1-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 31-40 In Losses: 14-16
February:
Duke 4-6
Wake Forest 6-12
NC State 4-2
Florida State 2-10
Louisville 8-10
Georgia Tech 2-2
Pittsburgh II 4-2
North Carolina 6-12
Totals: 36-56 We were 1-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 12-16 In Losses: 24-40
Comment: Marek could turn this stat around next eyar. Quincy could help, too, with pull-up shots.
POTO
(Point s off takeovers)
November:
Totals: 130-93 We were 3-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 89-56 In Losses: 41-37
December:
Totals: 88-72 We were 3-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 65-48 In Losses: 23-24
January:
Totals: 89-101 We were 2-2 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 57-62 In Losses: 32-39
February:
Duke 22-13
Wake Forest 19-20
NC State 12-23
Florida State 18-11
Louisville 8-8
Georgia Tech 15-10
Pittsburgh II 16-13
North Carolina 6-15
Totals: 116-113 We were 2-2 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 50-43 In Losses: 66-70
Comment: Takeovers are a significant part of our game and thus points off takeovers are, too
FBP
November:
Totals: 102-80 We were 4-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 70-24 In Losses: 32-56
December:
Totals: 69-51 We were 4-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 57-35 In Losses: 12-16
January:
Totals: 88-59 We were 4-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 69-35 In Losses: 19-24
February:
Duke 25-22
Wake Forest 11-21
NC State 13-21
Florida State 6-6
Louisville 3-2
Georgia Tech 21-9
Pittsburgh II 16-9
North Carolina 10-11
Totals: 105-101 We were 2-2 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 48-39 In Losses: 57-62
Comment: We are a better team when we can beat the other team down court. Again, Marek is a help here.
Fast Break Percentage
(FBP/(defensive rebounds + blocks + steals)
November:
Average: 103/242 = 42.6% vs. 80/193 = 41.5% We were 4-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 70/172 = 40.7% vs. 24/106 = 22.6% In Losses: 33/70 = 47.1% vs. 56/87 = 64.4%
December:
Average: 69/231 = 29.9% vs. 51/195 = 26.2% We were 4-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 57/169 = 33.7% vs. 35/125 = 28.0% In Losses: 12/62 = 19.4% vs. 16/70 = 22.9%
January:
Average: 88/299 = 29.4% vs. 59/264 = 22.3% We were 4-2 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 69/203 = 34.0% vs. 35/164 = 21.3% In Losses: 19/96 = 19.8% vs. 24/100 = 24.0%
February:
Duke 25/26 = 96.2% vs. 22/40 = 55.0%
Wake Forest 11/41 = 26.8% vs. 21/37 = 56.8%
NC State 13/36 = 36.1% vs. 21/40 = 52.5%
Florida State 6/31 = 19.4% vs. 6/37 = 16.2%
Louisville 3/38 = 7.9% vs. 2/41 = 4.9%
Georgia Tech 21/35 = 63.1% vs. 9/28 = 32.1%
Pittsburgh II 16/45 = 38.6% vs. 9/34 = 26.5%
North Carolina 10/30 = 33.3% vs. 11/36 = 30.5%
Average: 105/282 = 37.2% vs. 101/293 = 34.5% We were 2-4 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 48/121 = 39.7% vs. 39/99 = 39.4% In Losses: 57/161 = 35.4% vs. 62/194 = 32.0%
Comment: We ran more in our wins but outran the other teams by more in losses.
First Chance/Second Chance
(FCP is First Chance Points, which is total points - second chance points – fast break points – free throws made. SCP is second chance points.)
FCP
November:
Totals:225-185 We were 3-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 160-111 In Losses: 65-74
December:
Totals:235-205 We were 3-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 142-124 In Losses: 93-81
January:
Totals: 318-330 We were 1-2 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 188-205 In Losses: 130-125
February:
Duke 12-38
Wake Forest 27-13
NC State 29-11
Florida State 44-49
Louisville 42-55
Georgia Tech 26-42
Pittsburgh II 32-19
North Carolina 42-44
Totals: 254-271 We were 2-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 85-74 In Losses: 169-197
Comment: How did we ever stay in that Duke game as long as we did?
SCP
November:
Average: 55-74 We were 2-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 34-35 In Losses: 21-39
December:
Average: 66-78 We were 2-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 53-47 In Losses: 13-31
January:
Average: 78-79 We were 2-2 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 42-42 In Losses: 36-37
February:
Duke 23-18
Wake Forest 13-18
NC State 11-10
Florida State 13-12
Louisville 8-13
Georgia Tech 4-3
Pittsburgh II 12-10
North Carolina 10-22
Average: 94-106 We were 2-3 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 29-31 In Losses: 65-75
Comment: Except for North Carolina, there hasn’t bene a big difference in this stat and so it hasn’t had much of an impact.
Starter Scoring
November:
Totals: 385-314 We were 4-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 244-149 In Losses: 141-165
December:
Totals: 406-325 We were 4-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 286-189 In Losses: 120-136
January:
Totals: 514-403 We were 5-2 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 322-223 In Losses: 192-180
February:
Duke 81-70
Wake Forest 59-44
NC State 55-58
Florida State 64-39
Louisville 42-63
Georgia Tech 74-65
Pittsburgh II 60-23
North Carolina 73-68
Totals: 508-430 We were 3-3 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 193-132 In Losses: 315-298
Comment: we should win this stat as we use our starting line-up more than most of our opponents.
Bench Scoring
November:
Totals: 155-110 We were 3-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 99-56 In Losses:56-54
December:
Totals: 51-80 We were 2-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 38-63 In Losses:13-17
January:
Totals: 74-140 We were 0-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 41-94 In Losses: 33-46
February:
Duke 7-27
Wake Forest 16-29
NC State 19-21
Florida State 13-41
Louisville 24-27
Georgia Tech 5-7
Pittsburgh II 12-26
North Carolina 6-24
Totals: 102-202 We were 0-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 33-62 In Losses: 69-140
Comment: And we usually lose this stat for the same reason.
Assist Percentage:
(Assists divided by made field goals)
November:
Average: 116/168 = 69.0% vs. 98/144 = 68.1% We were 2-2 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 81/118 = 68.6% vs. 49/70 = 70.0% In Losses: 35/50 = 70.0% 49/74 = 66.2%
December:
Average: 111/153 = 72.5% vs.106/140 = 75.7% We were 3-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 80/114 = 70.2% vs. 69/87 = 79.3% In Losses: 31/49 = 63.3% 37/53 = 69.8%
January:
Average: 93/199 = 46.7% vs.150/215 = 69.8% We were 2-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 63/121 = 52.0% vs. 87/137 = 63.5% In Losses: 30/78 = 38.5% 63/78 = 80.8%
February:
Duke 13/27 = 48.1% vs. 19/31 = 61.3%
Wake Forest 11/22 = 50.0% vs. 15/23 = 65.2%
NC State 7/25 = 28.0% vs. 16/25 = 64.0%
Florida State 11/28 = 39.3% vs. 17/28 = 60.7%
Louisville 11/23 = 39.3% vs. 17/28 = 60.7%
Georgia Tech 12/23 = 52.2% vs. 18/24 = 75.0%
Pittsburgh II 16/26 = 61.5% vs. 10/16 = 62.5%
North Carolina 14/28 = 50.0% vs. 25/33 = 75.8%
Average: 95/202 = 47.0% vs.137/208 = 65.9% We were 2-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 39/71 = 54.9% vs. 43/63 = 68.3% In Losses: 56/131 = 42.7% 94/145 = 64.8%
Comment: Once we went to the driving game, we were going to lose this stat consistently, as well.
Team Offensive Possession Efficiency
(Possessions: Field goals attempted - offensive rebounds + turnovers + 47.5% of free throws attempted. Efficiency is total points divided by possessions)
November:
Average: 498/477 = 1.044 vs. 444/477 = 0.931 We were 4-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 328/266 = 1.233 vs. 225/267 = 0.843 In Losses: 170/211 = 0.806 vs. 219/210 = 1.043
December:
Average: 457/405 = 1.128 vs. 409/407 = 1.005 We were 4-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 324/268 = 1.209 vs. 252/269 = 0.937 In Losses: 133/137 = 0.971 vs. 157/138 = 1.138
January:
Average: 583/531 = 1.098 vs. 543/531 = 1.023 We were 5-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 363/338 = 1.074 vs. 317/336 = 0.943 In Losses: 220/193 = 1.140 vs. 226/195 = 1.159
February:
Duke 88/77 = 1.257 vs. 91/77 = 1.423 154 possessions
Wake Forest 75/72 = 1.042 vs. 73/73 = 1.000 145 possessions
NC State 74/77 = 0.961 vs. 79/76 = 1.039 153 possessions
Florida State 77/72 = 1.069 vs. 80/71 = 1.127 143 possessions
Louisville 66/74 = 0.891 vs. 90/75 = 1.200 149 possessions
Georgia Tech 79/73 = 1.082 vs. 72/73 = 0.986 146 possessions
Pittsburgh II 72/70 = 1.029 vs. 49/70 = 0.700 146 possessions
North Carolina 79/71 = 1.113 vs. 92/70 = 1.314 141 possessions
Average: 610/586 = 1.040 vs. 626/585 = 1.070 We were 3-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 226/215 = 1.051 vs. 194/216 = 0.898 In Losses: 384/371 = 1.140 vs. 432/369 = 1.171
Comment: This is an uninteresting stat for individual games as it parallels the result ton the scoreboard. But over a series of games it can take on meaning. We actually score better in the losses but our defense is much worse when we lose.
Adjusted Possession Efficiency
(Using just FGA + (.475 x FTA) to treat offensive rebounds as extra possessions and turnovers as lost possessions.)
November:
Average: 498/454 = 1.097 vs. 444/457 = 0.972 We were 4-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 328/258 = 1.271 vs. 225/249 = 0.904 In Losses: 170/196 = 0.867 vs. 219/208= 1.053
December:
Average: 457/387 = 1.181 vs. 409/401 = 1.020 We were 3-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 324/262 = 1.237 vs. 252/260 = 0.969 In Losses: 133/125 = 1.064 vs. 157/141= 1.113
January:
Average: 583/528 = 1.104 vs. 543/534 = 1.017 We were 3-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 363/333 = 1.090 vs. 317/338 = 0.938 In Losses: 220-195 = 1.128 vs. 226/196= 1.153
February:
Duke 88/88 = 1.000 vs. 91/70 = 1.386
Wake Forest 75/70 = 1.071 vs. 73/74 = 0.986
NC State 74/77 = 0.961 vs. 79/61 = 1.295
Florida State 77/72 = 1.069 vs. 80/73 = 1.096
Louisville 66/69 = 0.957 vs. 90/73 = 1.154
Georgia Tech 79/68 = 1.162 vs. 72/64 = 1.125
Pittsburgh II 72/65 = 1.108 vs. 49/62 = 0.790
North Carolina 79/72 = 1.097 vs. 92/72 = 1.278
Average: 610/581 = 1.104 vs. 626/549 = 1.017 We were 3-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 226/203 = 1.113 vs. 194/200 = 0.970 In Losses: 384/378 = 1.016 vs. 432/349= 1.238
Comment: Since this stat treats offensive rebounds and turnovers as additional possessions. But the difference was not so great as to produce a different result.
Team Shooting Efficiency
(Points minus missed field goals and free throws)
November:
Totals: 498-218-51 = 229 vs. 439-230-36 = 173 We were 4-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 328-103-25 = 200 vs. 220-133-13 = 74 In Losses: 170-115-26 = 29 vs. 219-97-23= 99
December:
Totals: 457-189-27 = 241 vs. 409-212-47 = 150 We were 4-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 324-124-18 = 180 vs. 252-143-20 = 89 In Losses: 133-65-9 = 61 vs. 157-69-27= 61
January:
Totals: 583-260-27 = 296 vs. 543-286-34 = 223 We were 5-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 363-164-17 = 182 vs. 317-191-22 = 104 In Losses: 220-96-10 = 114 vs. 226-95-12= 119
February:
Duke 88 – 43 – 9 = +36 vs. 91 – 23 – 4 = +64
Wake Forest 75 – 34 – 6 = +35 vs. 73 – 38 – 6 = +29
NC State 74 – 39 – 6 = +29 vs. 79 – 23 – 10 = +46
Florida State 77 – 35 – 4 = +38 vs. 80 – 37 – 4 = +39
Louisville 66 – 37 – 5 = +24 vs. 90 – 34 – 9 = +47
Georgia Tech 79 – 28 – 8 = +43 vs. 72 – 28 – 8 = +36
Pittsburgh II 72 – 30 – 7 = +35 vs. 49 – 39 – 3 = +7
North Carolina 79 – 35 – 2 = +42 vs. 92 – 31 – 2 = +59
Totals: 610-281-47 = 282 vs. 626-253-46= 327 We were 3-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 226-92-21 = 113 vs. 194-105-17 = 72 In Losses: 384-189-68 = 169 vs. 432-148-29= 255
Comment: This, too parallels the game result.
(Points scored divided by potential points scored if every shot was good)
November:
Average: 498/1104 = 45.1% vs. 439/1106 = 39.7% We were 4-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 328/615 = 53.3% vs. 220/618 = 35.6% In Losses: 170/489 = 34.8% vs. 219/488 = 44.9%
December:
Average: 457/969 = 47.2% vs. 409/979 = 41.8% We were 3-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 324/664 = 48.8% vs. 252/637 = 39.6% In Losses: 133/305 = 43.6% vs. 157/342 = 45.9%
January:
Average: 583/1256 = 46.4% vs. 543/1333 = 40.7% We were 5-2 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 363/788 = 46.1% vs. 317/830 = 38.2% In Losses: 220/468 = 47.0% vs. 226/503 = 44.9%
February:
Duke 88/203 = 43.3% vs. 97/206 = 47.1%
Wake Forest 75/163 = 46.0% vs. 73/142 = 51.4%
NC State 74/173 = 42.8% vs. 79/149 = 53.0%
Florida State 77/169 = 45.6% vs. 80/172 = 46.5%
Louisville 66/164 = 40.2% vs. 90/172 = 52.3%
Georgia Tech 79/152 = 52.0% vs. 72/145 = 49.7%
Pittsburgh II 73/153 = 47.1% vs. 49/150 = 32.7%
North Carolina 79/169 = 46.7% vs. 92/171 = 53.8%
Average: 610/1346 = 45.3% vs. 626/1307 = 47.9% We were 2-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 226/468 = 48.3% vs. 194/437 = 44.4% In Losses: 384/878 = 43.7% vs. 432/870 = 49.7%
Comment: Shooting has been a struggle since we started the conference season.
Breakdown by Quarters
(Points scored between the beginning of the game and the 10 minute mark of the first half, then halftime, then the 10 minute mark of the second half, the end of regulation and then overtime if there was one)
November:
Average: 122-99 (17-14), 102-105 (15-15), 141-107 (20-15) 133-128 (19-18)
We’ve won 17 ‘quarters’ and lost 11. We’ve scored at least 15 points in 22 of 28 quarters.
December:
Average: 121-90 (20-15), 111-112 (18.5-19), 105-103 (17.5-17), 120-104 (20-17)
We’ve won 16 ‘quarters’ and lost 7 with one even. We’ve scored at least 15 points in 21 of 24 quarters.
January:
Average: 117-119 (15-15), 167-100 (21-12.5), 127-152 (16-19), 152-160 (19-20) OT: 20-8
We’ve won 16 ‘quarters’ and one overtime and lost 12 with 4 even. We’ve scored at least 15 points in 22 of 32 quarters.
February:
Duke 19-14, 17-26, 19-27, 33-30
Wake Forest 18-8, 20-22, 24-23, 13-20
NC State 11-17, 24-22, 25-17, 14-23
Florida State 19-22, 14-19, 18-16, 26-23
Louisville 17-22, 17-19, 10-26, 22-23
Georgia Tech 10-20, 17-18, 22-13, 30-21
Pittsburgh II 15-11, 22-10, 25-16, 10-12
North Carolina 17-19, 18-21, 21-28, 23-24
Average: 126-133 (16-17), 149-157 (19-20), 164-166 (20.5-21), 171-176 (21-22)
We’ve won 13 ‘quarters’ and one overtime and lost 19. We’ve scored at least 15 points in just 7 of 32 quarters.
Comment: We lost 6 straight quarters, then won 5 straight and them lost 5 more straight.
FOULS
Two point shots / Foul (lower means the calls favored us)
November:
Average: 208/118 = 1.76 vs. 185/102 = 1.81 We were 1-2 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 125/66= 1.89 vs. 107/55 = 1.95 In Losses: 83/52 = 1.60 vs. 78/47 = 1.66
December:
Average: 171/102 = 1.68 vs. 169/98 = 1.72 We were 1-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 110/73= 1.51 vs. 106/62 = 1.71 In Losses: 61/29 = 2.10 vs. 63/36 = 1.75
Average: 276/122 = 2.26 vs. 232/113 = 2.05 We were 2-0 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 177/80= 2.21 vs. 154/71 = 2.17 In Losses: 99/42 = 2.36 vs. 78/42 = 1.86
February:
Duke 44/29 = 1.52 vs. 37/25 = 1.48
Wake Forest 35/23 = 1.52 vs. 34/20 = 1.20
NC State 46/19 = 2.42 vs. 27/19 = 1.42
Florida State 38/22 = 1.73 vs. 40/20 = 2.00
Louisville 34/16 = 2.125 vs. 40/19 = 2.11
Georgia Tech 37/26 = 1.42 vs. 37/20 = 1.85
Pittsburgh II 34/17 = 2.00 vs. 29/13 = 2.23
North Carolina 39/19 = 2.05 vs. 38/19 = 2.11
Average: 307/171 = 1.80 vs. 282/155 = 1.82 We were 2-2 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 106/66 = 1.61 vs. 100/53 = 1.89 In Losses: 201/105 = 1.91 vs. 182/102 = 1.78
Comments: It helps to get a kind whistle form the refs. What is interesting is that they are blowing it more than they did in January.
Free Throws / Foul (Higher means calls were more likely to put us on the line)
November:
Average: 154/118 = 1.31 vs. 122/102 = 1.20 We were 3-2 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 103/66 = 1.56 vs. 54/55 = 0.98 In Losses: 51/52 = 0.98 vs. 68/47 = 1.45
December:
Average: 124/101 = 1.23 vs. 102/97 = 1.05 We were 3-1 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 100/72 = 1.39 vs. 63/61 = 1.03 In Losses: 24/29 = 0.83 vs. 39/36 = 1.08
January:
Average: 122/122 = 1.00 vs. 105/113 = 0.93 We were 4-2 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 77/80 = 0.96 vs. 57/71 = 0.80 In Losses: 45/42 = 1.07 vs. 48/42 = 1.14
February:
Duke 37/29 = 1.28 vs. 33/25 = 1.32
Wake Forest 34/20 = 1.20 vs. 27/20 = 1.35
NC State 27/19 = 1.42 vs. 23/21 = 1.33
Florida State 18/22 = 0.82 vs. 17/20 = 0.85
Louisville 18/16 = 1.125 vs. 29/19 = 1.53
Georgia Tech 36/26 = 1.38 vs. 26/20 = 1.36
Pittsburgh II 19/17 = 1.12 vs. 14/13 = 1.08
North Carolina 19/19 = 1.000 vs. 17/19 = 0.94
Average: 208/171 = 1.22 vs. 186/155 = 1.20 We were 2-2 when we won this stat.
In Wins: 89/63 = 1.41 vs. 67/53 =1.26 In Losses: 119/108 = 1.10 vs. 119/102 = 1.17
Comment: There’s not much difference between how often the refs call a foul a shooting foul as opposed to a common foul, even if they make a strange decision about that from time to time.
