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[QUOTE="Orangeman, post: 2134999, member: 972"]
The math is starting to work against the strategy.  There are four distinct downsides to constant zone.

1)  The lack of ball pressure allows inferior teams/talent to compete and hang in there.  
2)  The zone can "Create Shots" for inferior to equal teams without having to do anything...a couple passes, a slow rotation,  bang they have an open look without "accomplishing anything".   This also helps capable but inferior teams hang around.
3)  The "dagger"  threes at key times...as OP originally posted, the zone works due to percentages.  But those %s go out the window on a "key play".  The reality is that opposing coaches know you can overload a zone and get an open look whenever you want.  See Buzz Williams, Jamie Dixon, etc.  You're constantly hearing on this board that opposing teams hit dagger threes with high regularity...that's because whenever they want they can overload 4-on-3 and get an open look (picture Roberson over in the far corner guarding noone).   It's not something you'd do every possession, but when you need a shot it's easy.  Frankly, it can be as easy as rolling up a ball-screen (we have no hedging mechanism in the zone), drawing a slide and making the extra pass.  
4)  We get no easy baskets from transition out of our zone.  In effect we have to out-score our opponents 1.25:1.0 because they get breaks and we don't

It is irrational given the current over-coached environment to exclusively play zone 4o mins a game.  I hope this changes.
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