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My Questions for Tonight's Jim Boeheim Show
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[QUOTE="jncuse, post: 4544229, member: 1969"] The number you are probably looking for then as the primary basis for selection is something like KenPom. Its something I have been OK with in the past myself as a way to pick teams as its a non subjective formula (other than the formula itself)... that is a clear advantage... but there are clear disadvantages as well. Let's be clear however, under either criteria Syracuse is in a bad position this year. KenPom is an efficiency based (i.e essentially margin based) ranking system that ranks teams on its schedule adjusted efficiency margin. So if you are playing a team that has an adjusted efficiency margin of 10 points better than you, and you only lose by 2, your adjusted efficiency margin will actually increase and you move up the rankings a bit. KP ratings can be an extra non key metric the margin can consider, and margin based rating systems are baked into part of the NET. So they are considered in the selection process but are certainly not primary considerations like quality wins, or just plan who you beat and when. If you chose something like KP to select all your teams there would be some advantages to it a) it adjusts everything for SOS - so you don't necessarily get punished or rewarded because you have more Q1 or Q2 opportunities. b) Its a non biased way to pick teams. The formula is was it is and it spits out information. Here are the main disadvantages; 1) Winning or losing should matter: If Team A beats Team B 71-70, it basically gets treated the exact same as whether they lost 70-71 under KP. Your efficiency margin gets impacted a bit if you lose, but at the end of the day you are on larger equal footing win or lose. Winning or losing that game, especially if its a key game, should matter to the winner or loser. 2) It rewards teams that get more blowout wins (when adjusted for schedule). It basically places equal importance to a Q1 or Q4 game, and basically analyzes the result by how much you beat them vs expectations. Is that how you want to pick teams? At the end of the day if the committee favoured KP more, there might be a handful of teams that are different than how the committee currently focuses on who you beat and how good they were (and if was on the road) [/QUOTE]
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