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[QUOTE="jncuse, post: 1636913, member: 1969"]
[URL]http://www.rpiforecast.com/index2.html[/URL]

So let's take a look at where we are at now.   Since we have now beaten Duke and Wake, I am  now going to evaluate us on our projected record.   There was no point using 6-12.

1) Currently we are still only projected at 8-10 although very close to 9 (27% chance at 8, 25% chance at 9).

So Current Projected Resume 
18-13
ACC - 8-10
RPI 66
Top 50 - 4-8
Top 100:  7-11
2 bad losses
(I realized the losses don't cross add, so I added one to the top 50)

2) There are 22 likely one conference teams (I am including the Colonial).  That leaves 46 spots for multi bid leagues.    Syracuse is currently 54 in RPI amongst such teams vying for the 46 spots.

Relating to those 53 teams above us, Syracuse has a better resume than:

Stanford
Boise St
Seton Hall
Evansville
Tulsa

Questionable if better:
UCLA
Texas 
Gonzaga

Below #66 in RPI teams with arguably similar resumes:
Georgetown
Arizona St
Washignton
Creighton

[U]Conclusion:[/U]  So even with a projected record of 8-10,  we are sitting somewhere between the 3rd last team out - 6th last team out.  I still believe 9-9 in ACC (with first round win) is the target number for having a fairly decent chance.
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