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[QUOTE="sufandu, post: 1016096, member: 874"]
1.  I'm saying I don't know that there is much of a difference.  This is in contrast to you speaking as if it a certainty the d-league is better.  The fact is there is not data that strongly supports one over the other.

2.  Yes, this is a valid point.  I haven't ever denied this.

3.  I don't know why this is so hard for you to understand.  20-25 is a projected 1st rounder.  [B]It does not guarantee it[/B].  Some players drop.  Some move up.  Donte Greene dropped 13 spots.  No body knows whether or not this would happen to Grant, including you and me.  However, if it did, the idea of him developing in the d-league with a [B]guaranteed[/B] million in his pocket is gone.  If Grant reinjures his back as a second round draft pick, he's worse off than he would be in college.  He hurts it as a second round pick, he's cut with no contract.  He hurts it in college, he gets treatment and can still play next year.  While he rehabs, he works toward a degree.

The scouts in the article didn't specifically say he's a second rounder.  I'm saying that projections aren't certainties.  A projection of 20-25 is too close to the second round for a guy that already has a good situation to take a chance that he could drop.  That's my opinion.  You keep saying you don't think he would drop.  Did you think Greene would drop?  I keep mentioning Greene, but surely he's not the only guy that didn't get drafted where he thought he would.  What if there are a number of european prospects the draft guys are unaware of?  What if he aggravates his back in pre-draft workouts (not unlikely given how recent his injury was)?

There is no more uncertainty with him coming back than there is with him leaving.  I'll say it again, if he was projected in the lottery, I'd say go.  Even if he dropped, he'd still be in the first round.  He isn't projected there, so I wouldn't want to take that gamble.
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