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[QUOTE="RF2044, post: 1417873, member: 40"]
You mean to tell us that NBA success is NOT guaranteed????

This is a pedantic discussion.  Rak has the tools to have a long career as a journeyman, and quality bigs tend to have fairly lengthy careers.  Of course it doesn't mean that it is a guarantee.  As some have pointed out in this thread, there are plenty of second rounders who have gone on to have lengthy NBA careers--some of them starting / becoming all stars.  Just like there are first rounders who bust and barely make a ripple.

Who knows how Rak's career is going to go?  He might struggle to make the team he was traded to as a 2nd rounder.  Then again, maybe they'll be looking for cheap depth, and his second round salary makes him an attractive end of bench guy.  Guess we'll find out.  But you certainly can't say with any certainty that he won't be a 10+ year NBA career guy, any more than anyone can forecast with any accuracy how his career will unfold.  Using trends is generally informative, but success occurs on a case-by-case basis in the NBA.  Rak having success or not making the league won't have anything to do with how other players who've been second round picks have fared before him.
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