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Message: [QUOTE="bpo57, post: 1418072, member: 1572"] You're the one that alluded to the 10 year + career and how Rak was passed up in favor of so many lesser players. That follows a persistent pattern on this board where posters frequently overrate SU talent in terms of where they will be, or should be, drafted and how they will perform in the NBA. It's so much more competitive than most here think. I recollect numerous bullish NBA predictions for Damone Brown, DNic, Rick Jackson, Southerland, Fab, Kris Joseph, Andy Rautins to name just a few that never came close to panning out. My point about historical trends was to lay out the statistical odds against Rak having a 10 year + NBA career. Kinda along the odds of a 5-1 type bet if not even longer odds. For me, I couple the statistical odds with my own personal view that he lacks what it takes to have that type of success and conclude a 10 year + career is not going to happen. We'll see. [/QUOTE]