SWC75
Bored Historian
- Joined
- Aug 26, 2011
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For the last several years I’ve been making monthly posts for baseball keeping track of who is leading each league in base production, (total batting bases +walks + steals) and run production, (runs scored + runs batted in minus home runs so they don’t get counted twice). I’ve also used those stats for my series on the history of the sport to identify the most historically productive players. I’m going to be starting a similar series for basketball soon and I thought I’d start doing monthly NBA posts using my “net points” formula: points + rebounds +assists + steals + blocks – missed field goals –missed free throws – turnovers – fouls. Since we don’t have two leagues, I’ll keep track of the top 25 players. I’ve also decided to break out the players averages per 48 minutes of play, (the length of an NBA game).
Players don’t actually average 48 minutes per game, (BasketballReference.com keeps track of averages per 36 minutes as that’s closer to what a star player will average). But they could play that much in a tight game. These numbers represent what they are capable of doing when their team really needs them to produce. The players are ranked based on total net points. The averages are just a breakdown of their individual skills. I do show the NP per 40 minutes at the end of each line but I’ll ranked them based on the total NP because that’s not a projection based on a rate of production..
Here is a breakdown of what I’ve typed in each case with LeBron James in October as an example: LeBron played 7 games and 259 minutes in those games, an average of 37.0 minutes per game (m). He scored 172 points (p), grabbed 52 rebounds (r ), passed for 60 assists (a), stole 7 balls (s) and blocked 8 shots (b). He attempted 116 field goals and made 68, so he missed 48 (mfg). He attempted 32 free throws and made 25, missing 7 (mft). He had 28 turnovers (to) and 11 personal fouls (pf). I add the positives and subtract the negatives to get 397 net points. I divide 48 by the 539 minutes and multiply each stat by the result. I come up with this:
LeBron James CLE 37.0m 31.9p 9.6r 11.1a 1.3s 1.5b 8.9mfg 1.3mft 5.2to 2.0pf 205NP (38.0)
AFTER OCTOBER
G. Antetokounmopo MIL 37.4m 43.2p 13.2r 6.6a 2.2s 1.1b 9.7mfg 2.6mft 4.2to 4.6pf 247NP (45.3)
DeMarcus Cousins NO… 37.3m 37.9p 17.5r 7.5a 2.0s 2.8b 13.4mfg 2.8mft 6.6to 5.5pf 214NP (39.4)
Steph Curry GS……………. 37.9m 40.6p 6.5r 9.1a 2.4s 0.4b 12.5mfg 0.5mft 3.8to 3.8pf 211NP (38.2)
Kevin Durant GS….………. 36.4m 33.5p 10.2r 6.1a 0.7s 3.1b 10.6mfg 1.3mft 4.9to 2.8pf 206NP (34.0)
LeBron James CLE………….37.0m 31.9p 9.6r 11.1a 1.3s 1.5b 8.9mfg 1.3mft 5.2to 2.0pf 205NP (38.0)
Anthony Davis NO………….33.7m 39.4p 17.8r 2.9a 1.9s 2.9b 11.4mfg 2.4mft 3.3to 3.1pf188NP (44.7)
Karl-Anthony Towns MIN 34.9m 33.2p 16.3r 1.4a 0.8s 2.8b 9.2mfg 0.8mft 2.8to 5.1pf 186NP (36.6)
Clint Capela HOU………….. 24.1m 26.9p 22.4r 2.0a 2.0s 2.7b 4.5mfg 1.0mft 2.2to 5.7pf 171NP (42.5)
Russell Westbrook OKC… 33.3m 28.2p 14.2r 16.9a 1.9s 0.4b 11.7mfg 3.3mft 7.6to 3.7pf 171NP (35.2)
James Harden HOU………. 36.3m 34.4p 6.3r 12.1a 2.3s 0.7b 15.4mfg 1.8mft 6.6to 3.6pf 171NP (28.3)
Andre Drummond DET….. 32.9m 18.3p 20.6r 4.2a 0.9s 2.2b 7.5mfg 1.1mft 3.7to 4.7pf 168NP (30.7)
Nicola Vucevic ORL……….. 30.7m 32.4p 13.8r 4.2a 0.9s 2.2b 10.9mfg 0.9mft 2.2to 3.6pf 161NP (35.9)
Nicola Jokic DEN……………. 32.1m 25.8p 16.6r 6.6a 1.1s 0.4b 8.3mfg 0.4mft 4.5to 3.4pf 159NP (33.9)
Ben Simmons ORL…………. 35.0m 25.3p 12.5r 10.6a 2.0s 0.6b 9.2mfg 3.5mft 4.3to 2.9pf 158NP (31.0)
Kemba Walker CHA……….. 34.9m 33.6p 5.3r 8.9a 1.2s 0.4b 11.8mfg 1.0mft 3.5to 2.2pf 157NP (30.9)
LeMarcus Aldridge SA…….34.0m 33.3p 11.9t 2.6a 1.0s 1.8b 13.1mfg 1.8mft 2.2to 3.0pf 151NP (30.5)
Evan Fouriner ORL ……… 33.3m 31.7p 6.2r 5.6a 2.1s 0.4b 9.5mfg 0.2mft 3.1to 2.7pf 148NP (30.5)
Steven Adams OKC……… 30.7m 22.5p 13.6r 2.2a 2.2s 2.0b 4.7mfg 0.9mft 2.2to 2.7pf 144 NP (32.1)
Al Horford BOS.…………… 32.7m 22.0p 13.8r 6.1a 1.3s 1.3b 7.8mfg 0.8mf t 3.1to 2.7pf 143NP (30.0)
Marc Gasol MEM…………. 34.1m 28.3p 13.6r 4.4a 1.2s 2.8b 11.8mfg 1.8mft 5.0to 3.6pf 140NP (28.1)
Damian Lillard POR……… 35.3m 33.0p 6.4r 7.8a 1.9s 1.0b 15.2mfg 1.2mft 4.1to 2.5pf 140NP (27.2)
Kevin Love CLE…………….. 29.4m 31.2p 18.2r 2.6a 0.7s 0.7b 12.5mfg 1.2mft 4.7to 3.5pf 135NP (31.4)
Kristaps Porzingis NYK…. 34.0m 41.4p 11.8r 1.2a 0.7s 2.4b 16.7mfg 1.9mft 3.3to 4.5pf 131NP (31.1)
Kyrie Irving BOS…………… 34.6m 30.1p 5.2r 7.9a 3.4s 0.6b 14.3mfg 0.4mft 3.6to 3.4pf 129NP (25.6)
Otto Porter WASH……….. 33.3m 26.9p 10.8r 2.9a 3.8a 0.6b 8.4mfg 1.0mft 0.7to 4.6pf 129NP (31.0)
FWIW:
Carmelo Anthony OKC….. 33.3m 33.0p 6.4r 2.3a 1.6s 1.6b 14.0mfg 1.2mft 2.5to 4.5pf 110NP (22.7)
Dion Waiters MIA…………..32.8m 24.1p 3.7r 4.4a 1.9s 0.7b 12.4mfg 1.0mft 3.4to 3.4pf 60NP (14.6)
Comments: This is a small sample, (6-8 games) but The Greek Freak is off to a great start. People have been predicting MVP-level stardom for him and this could be the year- if he gets enough help to be showcased on a strong team. Last year’s glamour boys, Westbrook and Harden are lagging behind last year’s numbers – but anyone would like to have them on their team.
Players don’t actually average 48 minutes per game, (BasketballReference.com keeps track of averages per 36 minutes as that’s closer to what a star player will average). But they could play that much in a tight game. These numbers represent what they are capable of doing when their team really needs them to produce. The players are ranked based on total net points. The averages are just a breakdown of their individual skills. I do show the NP per 40 minutes at the end of each line but I’ll ranked them based on the total NP because that’s not a projection based on a rate of production..
Here is a breakdown of what I’ve typed in each case with LeBron James in October as an example: LeBron played 7 games and 259 minutes in those games, an average of 37.0 minutes per game (m). He scored 172 points (p), grabbed 52 rebounds (r ), passed for 60 assists (a), stole 7 balls (s) and blocked 8 shots (b). He attempted 116 field goals and made 68, so he missed 48 (mfg). He attempted 32 free throws and made 25, missing 7 (mft). He had 28 turnovers (to) and 11 personal fouls (pf). I add the positives and subtract the negatives to get 397 net points. I divide 48 by the 539 minutes and multiply each stat by the result. I come up with this:
LeBron James CLE 37.0m 31.9p 9.6r 11.1a 1.3s 1.5b 8.9mfg 1.3mft 5.2to 2.0pf 205NP (38.0)
AFTER OCTOBER
G. Antetokounmopo MIL 37.4m 43.2p 13.2r 6.6a 2.2s 1.1b 9.7mfg 2.6mft 4.2to 4.6pf 247NP (45.3)
DeMarcus Cousins NO… 37.3m 37.9p 17.5r 7.5a 2.0s 2.8b 13.4mfg 2.8mft 6.6to 5.5pf 214NP (39.4)
Steph Curry GS……………. 37.9m 40.6p 6.5r 9.1a 2.4s 0.4b 12.5mfg 0.5mft 3.8to 3.8pf 211NP (38.2)
Kevin Durant GS….………. 36.4m 33.5p 10.2r 6.1a 0.7s 3.1b 10.6mfg 1.3mft 4.9to 2.8pf 206NP (34.0)
LeBron James CLE………….37.0m 31.9p 9.6r 11.1a 1.3s 1.5b 8.9mfg 1.3mft 5.2to 2.0pf 205NP (38.0)
Anthony Davis NO………….33.7m 39.4p 17.8r 2.9a 1.9s 2.9b 11.4mfg 2.4mft 3.3to 3.1pf188NP (44.7)
Karl-Anthony Towns MIN 34.9m 33.2p 16.3r 1.4a 0.8s 2.8b 9.2mfg 0.8mft 2.8to 5.1pf 186NP (36.6)
Clint Capela HOU………….. 24.1m 26.9p 22.4r 2.0a 2.0s 2.7b 4.5mfg 1.0mft 2.2to 5.7pf 171NP (42.5)
Russell Westbrook OKC… 33.3m 28.2p 14.2r 16.9a 1.9s 0.4b 11.7mfg 3.3mft 7.6to 3.7pf 171NP (35.2)
James Harden HOU………. 36.3m 34.4p 6.3r 12.1a 2.3s 0.7b 15.4mfg 1.8mft 6.6to 3.6pf 171NP (28.3)
Andre Drummond DET….. 32.9m 18.3p 20.6r 4.2a 0.9s 2.2b 7.5mfg 1.1mft 3.7to 4.7pf 168NP (30.7)
Nicola Vucevic ORL……….. 30.7m 32.4p 13.8r 4.2a 0.9s 2.2b 10.9mfg 0.9mft 2.2to 3.6pf 161NP (35.9)
Nicola Jokic DEN……………. 32.1m 25.8p 16.6r 6.6a 1.1s 0.4b 8.3mfg 0.4mft 4.5to 3.4pf 159NP (33.9)
Ben Simmons ORL…………. 35.0m 25.3p 12.5r 10.6a 2.0s 0.6b 9.2mfg 3.5mft 4.3to 2.9pf 158NP (31.0)
Kemba Walker CHA……….. 34.9m 33.6p 5.3r 8.9a 1.2s 0.4b 11.8mfg 1.0mft 3.5to 2.2pf 157NP (30.9)
LeMarcus Aldridge SA…….34.0m 33.3p 11.9t 2.6a 1.0s 1.8b 13.1mfg 1.8mft 2.2to 3.0pf 151NP (30.5)
Evan Fouriner ORL ……… 33.3m 31.7p 6.2r 5.6a 2.1s 0.4b 9.5mfg 0.2mft 3.1to 2.7pf 148NP (30.5)
Steven Adams OKC……… 30.7m 22.5p 13.6r 2.2a 2.2s 2.0b 4.7mfg 0.9mft 2.2to 2.7pf 144 NP (32.1)
Al Horford BOS.…………… 32.7m 22.0p 13.8r 6.1a 1.3s 1.3b 7.8mfg 0.8mf t 3.1to 2.7pf 143NP (30.0)
Marc Gasol MEM…………. 34.1m 28.3p 13.6r 4.4a 1.2s 2.8b 11.8mfg 1.8mft 5.0to 3.6pf 140NP (28.1)
Damian Lillard POR……… 35.3m 33.0p 6.4r 7.8a 1.9s 1.0b 15.2mfg 1.2mft 4.1to 2.5pf 140NP (27.2)
Kevin Love CLE…………….. 29.4m 31.2p 18.2r 2.6a 0.7s 0.7b 12.5mfg 1.2mft 4.7to 3.5pf 135NP (31.4)
Kristaps Porzingis NYK…. 34.0m 41.4p 11.8r 1.2a 0.7s 2.4b 16.7mfg 1.9mft 3.3to 4.5pf 131NP (31.1)
Kyrie Irving BOS…………… 34.6m 30.1p 5.2r 7.9a 3.4s 0.6b 14.3mfg 0.4mft 3.6to 3.4pf 129NP (25.6)
Otto Porter WASH……….. 33.3m 26.9p 10.8r 2.9a 3.8a 0.6b 8.4mfg 1.0mft 0.7to 4.6pf 129NP (31.0)
FWIW:
Carmelo Anthony OKC….. 33.3m 33.0p 6.4r 2.3a 1.6s 1.6b 14.0mfg 1.2mft 2.5to 4.5pf 110NP (22.7)
Dion Waiters MIA…………..32.8m 24.1p 3.7r 4.4a 1.9s 0.7b 12.4mfg 1.0mft 3.4to 3.4pf 60NP (14.6)
Comments: This is a small sample, (6-8 games) but The Greek Freak is off to a great start. People have been predicting MVP-level stardom for him and this could be the year- if he gets enough help to be showcased on a strong team. Last year’s glamour boys, Westbrook and Harden are lagging behind last year’s numbers – but anyone would like to have them on their team.
