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[QUOTE="Knicks411, post: 3608956, member: 767"]
So I was bored, and this is a very quick and in no way the final word or anything, but

In the last 20 years, I took a look at all the teams that won between 40, 41, or 42 games in a season (so as close to 500 as I could get, but I expanded by one game either way to include more teams.)  There have been 59 teams in the last 20 years that fir the criteria, they had a total W-L of 2,427-2,410, so basically there were a few more 42 win teams than 40, but very close to 500.

Obviously, there are a lot of moving parts here, this wouldn't account for teams large personnel moves or anything like that, but the 25 teams that were in my sample and outscored their opponents in the season averaged 41 wins in the next season, while the 34 teams that were outscored averaged 39 wins the next season, so I think there is something there.

Anyway, I Looked at the Hornets team page on BBref again as I was doing this, they went 23-42 last year!  Either way, they definitely sucked last year, whether or not they finished in 9th in the East.  (Obviously Hayward should make them better.  But they did outperform they pytag record by 4 games, so maybe I can see how teams that outplay their pythag in a season do the next year.
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