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Message: [QUOTE="Mano22, post: 2091275, member: 3394"] These are pretty rough obv. (1) We beat Louisville - Nothing else matters, we are in for sure regardless of GT and ACCT. (2) We lost to Lousville, beat GT - We are 90% in, a win in the ACCT makes it 100%. (3) We lose both of the last 2 - I think with a first round ACCT loss we are 50/50, with one ACCT win we are 75%, and with 2 ACCT wins we are 90+%. In summary, I think we only need 1 more win to more or less lock it up, depending on where the win comes, and somehow we are coinflip-ish even if we go 0-3 down the stretch, which just seems crazy to me, but that is where people seem to have us. [/QUOTE]