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[QUOTE="jncuse, post: 2092339, member: 1969"]
So of the 20 teams finding 12 spots, are you claiming that we are above that group?  There are 12 spots available for the group ranked below us?   Not trying to be rude but I think you are reading some terrible sources of information or interpreting them poorly.    There is absolutely no way that there would need to be another 7 or 8 bad scenarios after those I presented.

Needless to say I spend quite a bit of time monitoring where we currently stand and how weak the bubble is (which it absolutely is) and I give you my 100% assurance that if everything above happened we would be screwed.  I am not sure if you think we currently stand in a group ahead of the weak bubble group... we are in fact right in the middle of the weak bubble group.  On the inside part of it, but in the heart of it nonetheless.

Current Bracket  Matrix

Cal 33
Syracuse 33
Providence 29
Illinois St 25
Kansas St 24

--- In/Out Line ---
TCU 15
Vanderbilt 15
Wake Forest 12
Georgia Tech 6
Rhode Island 4
Clemson 3
Houston 3
Illinois 3

We only need 4 of the teams below us to make a real solid move to be out of the tournament by "consensus" anyway.   That solid move can be 2 wins for them including one top 50 win, vs our one win at home vs Georgia Tech.   And again, I will reiterate the matrix is not always going to be 100% correct.    But it is as good as an indicator out there that we have.
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