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Message: [QUOTE="jncuse, post: 5030755, member: 1969"] My observational theory is that its better to bet on strong offence / bad defence teams, rather than vice versa. A component of D is always intensity and effort (but one component only) And teams that lack in those areas, have a better chance to improve via ramping up energy, as compared to teams that struggle offensively. As an aside, with no relevance to the quote -- as I was browsing KP just now, I noted Rutgers has had the #5 and #6 defence in the country the last 2 year. With zero tournaments to show for it. This year they also had the #299 offence... not sure if I have ever seen a split that big in efficiency for a P6 team. [/QUOTE]